Re: Let's talk about Brian Johnson.
posted at 8/29/2014 2:46 PM EDT
In response to ADG's comment:
In response to ctredsoxfanhugh's comment:
In response to seannybboi's comment:
Brian Johnson is dominating in AA and perhaps having better AA season than Owens did. Another first rounder left throwing pitcher. In 20 AA starts this yr, Johnson is 10-2 with 1.75 ERA in 118 innings pitched. also moderate little better than 3:1 SO:BB ratio. only allowed 78 hits during 118 innings holding opponents to .189 batting average. He's now up to top 8 prospects for the Red Sox by soxprospects.com. He had unlucky start of his pro career when he was struck by opponent's hit ball in the face which ended his season. But he came back very strong starting 19 games with 2.54 ERA across 3 levels. (Rk, A, A+). Sox project him as inning eating back end rotation starter but his minor league career stats suggest he could be better. Exciting to see Owens, Johnson, newly acquired Rodriguez dominating.
"There is no try. Do or Don't"
Tools are tools, he has that projection for a reason. The last couple years he's had that back of rotation starter or late inning reliever slapped on him. If anything, his recent string of success in the upper minors has increased the likelihood that his place is in the rotation.
The Sox drafted him as a low risk/low ceiling guy thinking that he was guaranteed to get to the majors and help a big league club in some capacity but carried a lower ceiling than most guys. His superior control is what helps him in the minors leagues but his stuff is average and will take a hit at the mlb level.
I do believe guys that aren't very toolsy can sometimes get the absolute 100% out of their talents and perhaps sometimes be more than anyone ever could have guess; guys like Pedroia. Johnson has showed enough to where he is perhaps that kind of a guy, but even then I think projection moves from a back of the rotation starter to a middle of the rotation starter.
If all he is is a middle of the rotations starter, then that is great. That means he's a really good pitcher. I hope he does push the parameters of his talent and continues to show us more because I absolutely love a guy who pounds the zone and pitches strikes.
Guys like Webster and RDLR might have the raw stuff to be better pitchers, but they could also be less than Johnson one day as well if they never improve their control.
Hugh - You still have hopes for Webster? Do you watch the games?
I'm actually more pessimistic on him at the moment...but thanks for continuing your obsession.