Re: Mark Melancon and the relief conundrum
posted at 5/20/2012 10:35 PM EDT
The only problem with Bard is that you don't want to sell low. I think the plan will be to work Bard up to the point when Dice comes back to limit his innings and then put him in the pen. I am worried that with the level of velocity drop in Bard that he is injured. You are however right in that Bard is the most tradeable asset we have in that we have shown that he can be used as a starter or a lights out setup guy... and with that cannon somebody will want him to close. I haven't thought about putting Bard on the block since he is only 26 years old and cannons like he has don't come around often at all.
I agree, and I refuse to write him off after 6 bad games in September and management mistakenly making him a starter this year.
We don't have that strikeout pitcher right now in the pen anywhere. I really miss Bard out there as a setup guy. I think Ace had his best role as he was with us last year. It gave us the most value on high leverage innings and I like what he has been doing lately more than earlier in the year. You do make a good point of the mental makeup of Ace as a closer however and there is something to be said for that. If I were to choose between keeping Ace or Bard... I would have trouble deciding but I would have to go with Bard after seeing what he did in the setup role for the past few years.
I think we need to keep both, but to get someone really good, we may need to part with one.
The players I see as not minding to trade for the future of the team are as follows for age and performance decline reasons.
1. Padilla (34)
2. Atchinson (36)
3. Youks (33)
If Youk, Ells, CC, Bailey, and Dice-K all are healthy, I'd list them like this:
(assuming Middlebrooks goes down until the deadline.)
1. Padilla (34), Cook (33), DMac (33) or Byrd (34)
2. Youk (33), Atchison (36)-amazingly still has 4 years of team control.
3. Albers (29)- 1 more arb year, Nava (29)-prearb
4. Ross (31)-for the right price if CC & Ells are 100% (keep 2: Nava, Byrd or DMac)
5. Miller (27)- 2 arbs left, Punto (34)-signed through 2013
6. Melancon (27)- 4 more years of team control (prearb then 3 arbs)
If we could get a major upgrade player or a younger player with more team control, I'd include one or more of these players as well:
Salty (27)- 1 arb year left.
Buch (27)- 4 more years of team control under contract ($30M/4)
Ellsbury (28)- 1 arb year left