Re: Median Runs
posted at 4/25/2013 8:41 AM EDT
Sorry, Youk, but it just doesn't pass the common sense test with me. I do understand the value of not having a succession of very good and very bad games at the plate. But the reality with this team is that their pitching has been extremely good, especially the starters, who, even when they struggle, are holding opposing teams to 3 or fewer runs and last 5 or 6 or more innings--see Doubront the other night or Lester yesterday. And forget median runs scored and look at the much simpler average runs scored, and the Sox are scoring almost 5 runs a game, which is pretty good when your ERA is like 3.36 or whatever.
As for the Crawford thing, I think Victorino is a dead ringer for Ellsbury when Ellsbury's OBP is up, which it is not. If Vic goes on the DL because of his back, I would move Pedroia, who so far has a high OBP but low OPS (for him), meaning not much power, back to the 2 slot and Ortiz back to the 3 slot, followed by Napoli and whoever, probably Nava until Middlebrooks can get untracked.
The Sox are scoring runs despite a so-so team OPS, which tells me they are getting timely hitting, and that absolutely applies to Napoli. With Ortiz back and in fine fettle, the Sox OPS will rise when and if Ellsbury, Pedroia, Middlebrooks, Drew, and Salty--maybe not all of them, but most of them--get back to their normal levels. It also helps that Ellsbury leads the majors in steals with 10 and has yet to get caught stealing.
The neat things about Tuesday night's disaster are that no one got hurt, it gave the Sox a reason to move Aceves out, and they didn't score on a night when scoring would have been useless--they wasted no runs. But yesterday they scored 6 runs when they absolutely needed all 6 of them.