Re: Middlebrooks and Doubront for Trumbo ...
posted at 11/18/2013 9:44 PM EST
Yes but scouts are just assuming he will outgrow the position because they assume he will lose some atheticism as he grows. I don't think he will grow that much more, he is young and looks like he will fill out a little bit but he's already a big boy. Scouts assume he will lose athleticism as he grows but there are plenty of large and above average SS out there and Bogaerts very well could be himself. I think the "drew made plays Bogaerts wouldn't" is a little unfair, because if we have a player preference it's too easy to assume that without any way of ever really knowing.
Almost every scouting report I have ever read on Bogey mentions 3b being his possible landing spot. I trust their eyes and skills more than small sample size observations.
But yes I'll concede that "right now" Drew is a better defender, but Bogaerts is an elite bat and an average defender. If a guy can give you average defense and elite offense, you don't move them.
You do if he can be an elite offensive 3Bman and a plus fielding 3Bman within a year. Plus-plus is better than plus-average.
Also remember this, Drew is entering the age where he can lose a step any year now. Drew 30-35 won't be 25-30 Drew. Meanwhile Bogaerts will play all of next year at his age 21 season. Often players are rushed to the majors because either their bat or their glove is ready but not the other (see Jose Iglesias). I think Bogaerts has almost been the anti Iglesias. Elite Offense that can play in the big leagues but a glove that is still developing. I think he is starting to round into a plus defender and while I don't think he will win any gold gloves I think he will play above average defense at SS for at least some time. With his bat....you don't move Bogaerts if he can give you average defense.'
I'm not sure he ever gets plus at SS on defense. There are a lot of really good fielding MLB SSs today. For him to become the 14th best defensive SS, I feel he needs to improve a lot.
We can have an entire left side of the infield for less than 1 million dollars in Bogaerts and WMB and I THINK it will be a very good and above average one too.
I don't think about planning on moving Bogaerts until he actually outplays the position because he is much more valuable as a SS.
I get the offensive plus at SS brings to a club. When comparing Bogey's possible offense to the league average, we could see a huge disparity, however, MLB is not what it was "back in the day".
3B is no longer a big offensive position. This year, the league average 3B OPS was .715. The league average SS OPs was .675. While the 40 point differential is significant, it's not what it used to be. If Bogey can quickly give us a plus .800 OPS, that would be a huge differential over most team's 3Bmen, especially our own team .692 3B number in 2013 that was bossted by Iggy and Bogey.
To me, the fielding at SS is essential. Drew proved it during the playoffs.