Re: Middlebrooks is the key for the 2013 Red Sox Playoff Hopes
posted at 10/20/2013 11:01 PM EDT
Compare the 2014 numbers of these two thirdbasemen, born 25 days apart, who played this year for postseason teams that won 97 and 92 games, respectively, in the regular season:
Player A DOB 9-9-88 94 G, 374 PA, .227/.271/.425/.696, OPS+ 88, WAR* 0.3
Player B DOB 10-4-88 94 G, 308 PA, .225/.270/.398/.668, OPS+ 88, WAR 0.5
This year Player A spent 45 games in the International League, posting a .268/.327/.464/.790 line in 196 plate appearances while Player B spent 27 games in the International League, posting a .390/.456/.676/1.132 line in 125 plate appearances.
This season Player A posted a UZR/150 of -8.3 in 797.2 innings at third base while Player B posted a UZR/150 of -4.6 in 697 innings at third base.
In 2012 each player had an extended stay on the disabled list with a broken bone after being hit with a pitch.
Player A entered the 2012 season as Baseball America's 51st-ranked prospect while Player B entered the 2010 season as BA's 31st-ranked prospect and the 2011 season as BA's 25th-ranked prospect.
Their minor league lines (coming in many of the same leagues):
Player A 1902 PA, .275/.332/.455/.788, 144 BB (7.6%), 487 K (25.6%)
Player B 1905 PA, .282/.351/.470/.821, 158 BB (8.3%), 309 K (16.2%)
Player A is Boston's Will Middlebrooks and Player B is Cleveland's Lonnie Chisenhall, who might be a decent comp in determining Middlebrooks' trade value (although Middlebrooks apparently has one more year of team control than Chisenhall does).
* Wins Above Replacement as reported at FanGraphs