Re: Mike Carp
posted at 11/17/2013 5:03 PM EST
In response to BMav's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
Yes, but I am looking at Carp from a value-perspeective. If this was Naps, and fans spoke of a .781, alarm bells would start going off. If you projected .825 for Naps, and $14M, and .775 for Carp, for about $1M, whcih player would you choose? I'd prefer Carp, and spend teh $13M savings on a decent mid-level catcher and the BP.
.775 is totally unacceptable from the 1B position and would represent about a 100-200 point OPS deficit vs most ML teams' 1Bman.
I get the money part of your argument, but the 1B position is not one that can be sacrificed so drastically on offense.
I happen to think that a Carp/Nava platoon with Middy and Papi perhaps getting time there as well, can come up with an .825 to .850 OPS, but if Carp hits .775, he won't be playing long.
On August 24th, Mike Napoli had a .770 OPS. Thats less then .775. Were you saying that was totally unnaceptable or just concerning and less then prefferable? At that point, he also had just a .787 OPS for his 2012-2013 seasons combined. Totally unnaceptable? My point being that Napoli isn't that much better then what you call totally unnaceptable.
No, on August 24th I was telling everyone that Napoli was a streaky hitter and there was no reason to think he was all done. As expected, he got hot and ended up with decent stats.
I agree, I would prefer some right handed insurance if we went with Carp. If we sign Drew, it could be Middlebrooks, allowing us to go without a utility infielder. Otherwise, it would force the team to use Victorino as the bacup CF, allowing an additional 1st base type like Hart, Hassan, etc.
Let's assume we sign Drew and not Napoli.
Our defense improves at these positions:
SS: Drew > Bogey
3B: Bogey > 2013 Middy
(I am assuming Bogey improves with winter 3B workouts & ST)
1B: Middy/Carp > Nava/Carp
LF: Nava/Gomes > Gomes alone
I would still sign Napoli on a one year 15 million contract. My concern is his health and age if we go to 3 years. Two is 50-50 for me. Might depend on where else we could spend the money. But I would be comfortable with Carp-Middlebrooks at 1st.
They say his hip looks better now than last winter. I like Napoli too, and I think he might do even better next year. I'm Ok with 2-3 years, but realize there is a risk.