posted at 10/31/2012 7:32 PM EDT
1st choice: B. McCarthy $22M/3 (If he looks healthy, I might go to $25M/3 or $30M/4 with IP incentives.)
If yes, I'd then offer S. Marcum $12M/2 (see Guthrie is SM says no).
[ ...then I'd .... offer J Guthrie $11M/2 ...]
That will get the 2nd rate bum McCarthey. So, your plan is MCarthey and Guthrie. Marcum will say no.
Your plan is pitiful. No need to pay that for 2nd rate starting pitchers. The Red Sox have plenty of second rate pitchers.
Now that I've forced your specific plan from nothingness; since you believe the Red Sox problem over the last half decade has been pitching, tell the readers what these moves are going to do for the Red Sox starting pitching staff performance in 2013? You have written that the Red Sox will need a miracle to contend for a playoff spot in 2013, so why blow that kind of money on 2nd rate pitchers?
I have always been for upgrading the staff at the top 2 slots, not the bottom like you. That being said, I don't see Greinke or Haren as worthwhile gambles. So, my plan is to treat 2013 as a bridge year to 2014, and I hope we can build a foundation of solid starters in hopes that we get a stud next July or winter.
Obviously, I don't think McCarthy is an ace, but I do think, if healthy, he can come close to 2 slot status, but more likely 3 slot material. Guthrie could be a solid #4 starter this year and next.
You have neglected to take my offer for Brett Anderson seriously, because my offer is more specific than your low-balling vague "pool" offer, as if by offering a pool of lower prospects that is somehow better than me offering specific higher rated ones.
I offered Lava, Tazawa & Lin-the SS for Anderson. That would allow us to trade Doubront, Morales, Aceves, and Brentz (would it sound better to you, if I said a pool of anyone below Brentz on the prospect chart?) for J. Upton. (This is just one of a few specific offers I have suggested for Upton-- and none include Ellsbury unless a 3rd team is involved.)
Since I do not have a lot of faith in Lester going forward, I'd like to load up on 2-4 slot starters. Buch's health and Lackey's future is also questionable. If we end up with "too much pitching", we can always trade one at nearly any given moment.
1) _________ (ace to be acquired after this winter)
3) Lester (?)
6) Marcum or Guthrie or Lackey (?)
With Upton and this staff and a possible other FA pick-up like Bourn in CF if and after we trade Ellsbury, and maybe Ross in LF, Papi at DH, and a trade for K Morales to play 1B, I might revise my thinking on 2013 being a "bridge year", but I doubt all that will happen.