Re: NEWS FLASH - In case you haven't noticed Ellsbury is having one of the greatest years ever for a lead off batter!
posted at 9/20/2011 11:21 PM EDT
In Response to Re: NEWS FLASH - In case you haven't noticed Ellsbury is having one of the greatest years ever for a lead off batter!
[QUOTE]Judging by his interviews Ellsbury has played with a chip on his shoulder after last year's criticisms. Good for him to channel it well. We can only hope CC manages the same in the not too distant future. I never thought Ellsbury would have a season like this. Breaking it down: His grounball percentage is way down this year so the double secret reverse pivot is no longer in a GB to 2nd baseman rut. In years past he seemed to swing for the fences but come up short. Not this year HR/FB 15.8% career 9.0%. Bad breaks on balls. My eyes matched what UZR and TotalZone were saying about his play in CF before this year. This year he has looked better to the naked eye and the metrics agree. If I were to nitpick he often gets a glove on shallow line drives but rarely holds on. Driving the fastball. He is seeing ~3% less FB. I think that tells the story. Scouts must have changed the book on him.
Fangraphs had him about average on FBs for his career and off the charts awesome this year. Running into outs. He is only average which is bad considering his speed. If this is the weakest part of his game and he is about league average, that equals an incredible year.
Gee. According to Softone, Jake is seeing 43% fat city
Wonder why he never backed up this claim?
The scouts re-wrote the book on Jake after his power became an issue.
This being said, I do think Boom
is hoisting the superstar label prematurely. And the reason Rickey Henderson never drove in this many runs was because he walked so damn much. That crouch of his was border-line illegal the way he used it to manipulate the strike zone. As a result, he scored over 100 runs 13 times.
Jake's done it once - so far.
In addition, the A's didn't have much at the end of their batting order...and Henderson didn't spend his prime hitting in Fenway.
Huge difference in hitting/pitching venue.
in Boston: .311
in Oakland: .143
Henderson hit .286 in Oakland, but over .300 in Boston up until he played for Boston, which was at the end of his career.