posted at 9/15/2013 11:39 AM EDT
Drew, a little better, but similar make-up as Lowrie. It's no suprise that the Red Sox keep looking for these tall slugging SS.
I'm not sure what height has to do with anything, but both Drew and Lowrie are not tall. They are #7 & #8 in WAR for all MLB SS's. Of the guys with higher WARs, only Segura is shorter than them.
Next up, for certain, is Bogaerts. I've seen him play many times and other than handling the balls hit right at him or close to him, he's a very weak defensively if he's an everyday SS.
Which is why he will eventually migrate to 3B.
I expect Red Sox management will give Drew a QO, if they are almost sure he'll turn it down (Drew's young enough to where he's likely to get a 2 or 3 year offer in the 16 to 30M range. But he's old enough and fragile enough and has miles on his body and I expect there's a strong chance he'll take that kind of offer.
Which is where your train leaves the tracks. If he is worth a contract for $30M/3, the he is an outstanding signing for $9.5M/1.
There is a poster on here who is willing to bet that management has no plans for Bogaerts as the long term SS (that poster bets that managment plans on going with Marrero as the long term SS). I hope this poster is correct, but he's disagreeing for the sake of disagreeing. He will almost surely be wrong, as the history of how Red Sox managment looks at SS couldn't be any clearer. And that means there are no long term SS starting plans from management, for Marrerro. Just a hunch.
What you consider the history of how the FO views SS's is not reality. Look at the transactions-
- Traded slugger Nomar for OCab GG defense.
- Trade Hanley, known for his bat, not his glove
- Signed Renteria, who had 2 GGs'.
- Signed Gonzalez who had an outstanding glove
- Signed Lugo, who was average in both bat and glove
- Signed Iglesias who was expected to be all glove and no bat.
- Signed Scutaro with equal parts offense and defense
- Drafted Marrero-all glove, little offense
- Signed Drew who is equal parts offense and defense.
Since we traded Nomar, the only SS that could be considered a big bat was Renteria, and he was an outstanding defender before he joined the RS. Overall, that group of 7 SS's is way more valued for their defense than their offense.
IRT to Marrero, he was the reason they traded Iglesias, imo. They are interchangeable. Certainly he has to continue to develop, but I would bet real money he will be our SS by 2016, if not 2015.