Re: Over-looked & All-important
posted at 9/10/2011 12:33 AM EDT
In Response to Re: Over-looked & All-important
[QUOTE]In Response to Re: Over-looked & All-important : This season Doug Fister is 1-5 with a 3.39 ERA against teams with losing records and 6-8 with a 3.02 ERA against teams with a .500 record or above: http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?id=fistedo01&year=2011&t=p
Fister has an ERA of 0.00 this season against the Red Sox, 3.86 against the Yankees and 3.68 against the Rangers. As points of reference, Jon Lester has a 4.30 ERA against the Yankees and an 8.44 ERA against the Rangers. Josh Beckett has a 1.85 ERA against the Yankees and a 1.50 ERA against the Rangers.
Posted by hill55
, we weigh Fister's legitimacy differently. You are using ridiculously short samples.
I've seen some pretty ludicrous WAR stats, like Lackey's over Buchholz's last year.
And I don't put much credence into "teams over .500". It's reflective of divisional strength and the unbalanced schedule.
I do feel venue is very important, and I did much research (8 years worth) on the FENWAY FACTOR: The GREAT DISTORTION thread to validate it.
Sorry, but I don't think WAR's adjustments to park are very accurate, especially regarding the older parks like Wrigley and Fenway.Fister
has a career 4.42 ERA/1.393 WHIP in the league's major hitting venues.
(TX/BS/NY/Toronto). His short sample sizes against NY/Boston this year total 12+ IP. Hardly conclusive. Let these teams see him as often as they do Lester or Beckett and then we'll talk.
in NY/TX/Toronto: 3.13 ERA 1.109 WHIPFister
vs. league's top teams (BS/NY/TX):
81 IP 92 H 40 ER 4.45 ERA 1.333 WHIP career numbersLester
vs. league's top teams (NY/TX):
151 IP 143 H 59 ER 3.52 ERA 1.298 WHIP career numbers
Fister has pitched well for the Tigers, but let's keep in mind who he's faced:
The Rays are legit but their line-up isn't.
Only one team here is a likely PO team: Texas. And that game was in Detroit