Re: Plan on being MAJOR SELLERS at July trade deadline...
posted at 5/5/2012 5:24 PM EDT
I'm not saying this is what I want to do, but here's a "sellers scenario" for you guys to ponder:
Crawford: 12:$19.5M, 13:$20M, 14:$20.25M, 15:$20.5M, 16:$20.75M,17:$21M
Youkilis: 12:$12M, 13:$13M club option ($1M buyout)
B. Zito: 12:$19M, 13:$20M,14:$18M club option ($7M buyout)
A. Huff: 12:$10M, 13:$10M club option ($2M buyout)
S. Romo: 12: $1.575M (+ 2 arb years)
I do not like Huff or Zito, but we'd get a nice relief pitcher in Romo, and a chance at a good starter in Zito for the advantage of getting rid of CC's longer term contract. Huff is a mess, and is just part of this deal to sweeten the money aspect of the deal for SF. SF gets some hitting it needs and a possible 1Bman or 3Bman (an area they need).
Cost: SF gains a little in the short run (if they let Youk walk), but has way more longterm cost...
2012: Boston $30.6M/ SF $31.5M
2013: (No Huff with $2M buyout)
with Youk: Boston $24M (with Romo arb raise)/ SF $33M
No Youk: Boston $24M/ SF $21M (with Youk buyout)
Likely 2012-2013 real cost (1/3rd of 2012 salary + 2013 salary) with No Youk or Huff option counted:
2014: Boston $11M ($7M Zito buyout + $4M Romo arb)/ SF $20.3M
2015: Boston $0 / SF $20.5
2016: Boston $0/ SF $20.8M
2017: Boston $0/ SF $21M
Ortiz: $14.575M (FA or arb in 2013)
Dice-K: 12:$10M (FA or arb in 2013)
Jacob Turner (RHP) #1 Baseball America prospect: 4 years/$5.5M (2010-13), plus $1m/yr 2014, 2015 club options
Casey Crosby (LHP) #4 prospect (prearb
Avisail Garcia (OF) #10 prosect (perarb)
Marlon Byrd: Contratc paid by the Cubs (FA in 2013)
Bobby Jenks: 12: $6M (not likely, even if he gets healthy)
Cody Ross: 12: $3M (FA in 2013)
Nick Punto: 12:$1.5M, 13:$1.5M
Vincent Padilla: 12: $1.5M (FA in 2013)
Kelly Shoppach: 12: $1.3M (Fa in 2013)
Matt Albers: 12: $1.075M (+ 1 arb year)
A. Miller: 12: $1.04M (+2 arb years)
Prospects with emphasis on pitching, SS and RH'd power hitting OF'ers.
2012-2013 winter Deal.
Lackey: 12:$15.25M, 13:$15.25M, 14:$15.25M 15: Min wage injury clasueA. Atchison: (prearb, then 3 arb years)
A. Hassan (prearb)
Jason Bay: 13:$16M, 14:$17M club option ($3M buyout) ($basically $19M/1)
David Wright: 13:$16M club option ($1M buyout) (Extension part of deal)
I don't want J-Bay, but we'd save money with him over Lackey, and we'd only have him 1 year, then lose his money for 2014.