Re: Red Sox select Trey Ball Thoughts?
posted at 6/7/2013 6:07 AM EDT
The things I like and don't like about 3-Ball.
1-High school pitcher. For me you have to be special to be worthy of the 7th pick if you are a high school pitcher. Ball is borderline special.
2-Age. He is very old for a high school player. This for me is his biggest flaw.
3-A somewhat negative late season scouting report. Don't remember where, but it was late in the year and the guy had him at 88-92. I am not sure how much I buy the 91-95 reports. Slight concern about health with this. I remember getting very excited about Ball until I read that report. That cooled me off some.
4-Movement on his fast ball. Don't see much. Not particularly tricky or hard to pick up the ball out of his hand either.
5-No dominant breaking pitch yet. Again, he was taken 7th. If he was taken 20th, this would be less of a concern. But you should expect awesomeness from a 7th pick HS pitcher and atleast 1 nasty pitch. He has none.
6-Frame. He looks naturally skinny. Like the blade was. I lean towards horse builds. Not a huge negative, but give me a Clemens over a Kershaw body type.
7.Only threw 46 innings. Would like to hear why. That seems very low, even for a northern pitcher.
1-Tall. Lean towards tall pitchers and dislike short pitchers. Always exceptions to the rule, but tall is very good and 6-6 is perfect.
2-185. The hope is that he can add 40 pounds. My guess is it will only be 25. But thats still a plus. Also not too concerned he is juiced yet. I can't say that as far as many of the college players drafted are concerned. Probably the least likely roider of any player drafted today.
3-Easy, smooth, and clean delivery. This is huge to me. Doesn't look like a reliever delivery. Looks like a classic lefty starter delivery. A pitcher, not a thrower. This is incredibly important when it comes to health long term.
4-Repeats delivery. This is crucial for control. Think about Miller, Kukuk, and Owens. All are tall lefties and all have control issues. I think Ball will be different.
5-Athlete. Helps in a lot of subtle ways.
6-Seems to have the makings of a decent curve ball and good change up down the line. His frame and style of pitching are condusive to these two pitches. I expect them to develope better then some think. Atleast there is good hope for them.
7-Stats. Close to 2 K's an inning and an ERA below 1 are the things you expect from a great HS pitcher. He has more then 2 K's and an ERA of 0.70. Although I imagine the competion was very weak.
8-Good experience against quality summer ball. He has done this effectively in the summer circuit easing concerns about his Indiana competion.
9-Fresh arm. Reports that his Dad didn't let him throw a curve I think is a good thing..... I think. Will focus now on pitching exclusively aswell.
10-Command and control. The videos and stats I have seen make me believe he will have surprisingly good command and control. Better then some scouts think. I think he will throw strikes, keep the ball down and eventually hit corners.
Seven concerns is fewer then I had for Stewart, so not too bad. And a bunch of things to love and like. If only he wasn't 19 this month.
I still rank Trey Ball comfortably in my top 100 nationally[80's] and 5th on the red sox, behind Barnes and above Owens. I do think he is currently a better prospect then Owens although all 3 starters are very close in my mind.
However, I will always compare him to Austin Meadows. We will see.