Re: Say what you want, but SOFTY is SPOT ON about JACOBY ELLSBURY .........
posted at 5/18/2013 3:11 PM EDT
In response to notin's comment:
In response to southpaw777's comment:
In response to notin's comment:
In response to sportsbozo1's comment:
What a surprise a bunch of Ellsbury fans believe because they bought his jersey that he can do no wrong! As for a leadoff hitter who might be better than Ellsbury how about giving Victorino a shot I think he still knows how to leadoff. I know his OBP is higher than sluggers is... He's also a better option in CF if you want my opinion. Ellsbury couldn't play RF in Fenway, because he's afraid of denting a fingernail.. I could give you plenty of examples which define why Ellsbury is only an average OF but since most of you believe in Santa Claus or live in denial about his limits as a ballplayer I'll save my thoughts for another forum.
Ellsbury is not an average OF, but he is certainly not the second coming, either.
With one exception, I have not seeen anyone say he should be retained beyond this season. Even his stauncest supporters (again, one exception, same guy) seem to think "Hey, ride the wave to shore, see if he is an Option Year Hero, and then go with Bradley next year while Ellsbury is overpaid elsewhere and the Sox get a draft pick."
The irony is, if his funk continues, the no-brainer of extending a Qualifying Offer might become a significant decision. There is a chance Ellsbury might leap at a one yer $14mill deal as a chance to rebuild his value. Worst Case Scenario for him is, he earns about $14mill for one year of work. So unless Ellsbury turns it around, Boston might be thinking twice about extending the QO, and no QO means no draft pick...
I think the cubs would surrender their 2nd rounder to get Ells. Especially if they could get him for about that 12-14M per. After Ells' injury past, Im not so sure chancing another year at age 30 would be smart. Unless hes totally all about the money and doesnt realize that 50-60M is still a ton of cash.
It could be a tough call for Boras to make.
The Cubs seem to be the early favorites, per another thread. But I have my doubts. most of their younf OF talent after Soler are CF types (Sczur, Jackson, Almora), and they may not be in the market. Obviously not all of them will work out, if any do at all. But their corner depth in the OF (and INF) is actually atrocious.
Couple that with the fact that, with Epstein running the show, they are more likely to take a CF in the first two rounds than a corner INF or corner OF type, assuming history continues.
While they probably take appel or Gray #2 overall, there is a chance they take a CF like Meadows or Frazier. Further lessening the need for Ellsbury long term...
I would put money on them going with Grey or Appel. They'd be flloish not to, IMO.
Jackson can play the corners, Almora isnt even close yet, but the key guy is Sczur and how he performs this year and if they value him more than Ellsbury's experience. Soler, Ellsbury and Jackson might work for them and use Sczur as a trade chip to get another needed piece.
Baez looks like he might go to 3b, leaving Castro at SS. If that happens then Villanueva and Vitters(3b) could be expendable as well. With no real depth at 2b, Villanueva could be switched over because of his size and also Lake if he can turn things around. 1b is obviously set for the forseeable future.
Thats a lot of room to add some salary with the whole infield and most of the OF being younger cost controled prospects besides Sorianos last year at 18M.