Re: SOFTY would say,
posted at 8/25/2013 5:28 PM EDT
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to slomag's comment:
Say what you want about Softy, but he was more right than most about Ellsbury. 2011 was an aberration - not a breakout season, and if we had sold high we could very well have a Chris Sale, Shelby Miller or Julio Teheran in the rotation right now.
There is no way softy was more right about Ellsbury than most.
softy claimed Ellsbury would never have an OBP over .340 for a full season.
His career OBP is .350.
softy claimed Ellsbury would never have the power that Coco Crisp had.
Yes, the 32 HRs was clearly an outlier, but he has 30 points on Crisp in SLG.
softy claimed Ellsbury was a below average fielder- "bad breaks/ poor routes"
Yes, Ellsbury does get bad breaks at times, but he is clearly a plus now on D.
softy claimed SBs were over-rated and that "Jake's CS rate would increase".
softy bashes Salty for the CS rate & Jacoby has his best SB/CS ratio ever.
softy claimed Jake's "reverse pivot" stance would not allow him to hit 15 HRs.
Ellsbury hit 32 HRs in 2011. (More than Coco ever hit in 2 years combined.)
softy acted like most of Red Sox Nation felt Jacoby would be the next Teddy Ballgame.
Nothing is further from the choice.
softy claimes 2011 was an outlier season.
Many of us stated that it was not likely he'd ever repeat his 2011 numbers.
.350 is not far from .340. Ellsbury doesn't have much if any more power than Crisp. Other than 2011, he's never come close to 15 HRs. I agree with you on defense and CS ratio. But after 2011, I said we had to trade Ellsbury high. I was eviscerated by posters who thought Ellsbury was not only the best player on the team, but one of the top 10 in all of baseball. I think your prediction was .860 OPS with 20-25 HRs going forward.
Now his Sox career is drawing to a close. He has been somewhat better than what Softy predicted, but all in all Softy's pessimism was far closer to reality than what most here wanted to believe.