Re: Sorry, but I don't like it
posted at 7/31/2013 2:58 PM EDT
In response to S5's comment:
I guess I'm much too conservative to be a GM - or maybe I've been jaded by being a Red Sox fan for as long as I have. Here's the way I see it:
This team is currently rolling alone 1/2 game out of 1st and the FO has just traded away our starting 3B (who also may be our SS of the future). This is going to work out perfectly if....
Jake Peavey pitches well and doesn't go down with any further injuries
Stephen Drew gets his stroke back so he can hit like he has in the past - which he hasn't done recently. One swallow doesn't make a summer any more than one double makes a trend.
the FO somehow finds/discovers someone to play 3B who can contribute as much on balance as Iggy did (Middlebrooks? Bogarts? Young? Who knows?) Isn't this a poor point in the season to not have any idea who your starting 3B is going to be?
Bogarts pans out as our future SS (he has HOW MANY ML games now? Hint <1). I'd have preferred to be sure he could do it before I traded away my "insurance". (See JBJ)
If any one of these things doesn't work out the FO would have been better off not having made that trade. In a worst case scenario the Sox wouldn't have qualifed for PS play and the Sox would go to Ft.M next March with someone they knew could handle the SS position. And that's the worst case.
Am I being unduly pessimistic to think that all four of these things aren't going to go as planned? I truly hope this works but had I been the GM it wouldn't have happened. There are too many things that could go wrong to believe that at least one of them wouldn't.
Having the right to do something doesn't make it the right thing to do.
Yes, you're being too pessimistic on the Red Sox side, and not pessimistic enough on the Tigers / White Sox side.
If the Sox win the world series, and Peavy plays a significant role. the loss is acceptable no matter what Iglesias becomes.
If the Sox win the world series next year, and Peavy plays a significant role in the playoffs or regular season, the loss is acceptable no matter what Iglesias becomes.
If Iglesias has the Rey Ordonez career that he looked destined for four months ago, then the deal works out fine no matter what Bogaerts, Middlebrooks & Cecchini become.
If the Sox trade Peavy before the end of his contract, and the return goes on to be more significant than Iglesias, it's a win for the Sox.
If the Sox keep Peavy through his contract, and get a first-round draft pick who then goes on to be more significant than Iglesias, it's a win for the Sox.
If Bogaerts and Iglesias turn out to be a push, and Peavy proves an upgrade over Brandon Worman, it's a win for the sox, because they couldn't play both players at the same spot at the same time.
There are a lot of ways this works out in the Sox favor. And don't forget - Iglesias has a .116 OBP over the past 13 games. That's horrible. When he slumps, he doesn't just fail to hit - he can't get on base; he can't even work the count. That's the opposite of what has made this team successful this year. That's the opposite of the approach that Middlebrooks is working very hard at Pawtucket to adopt. We haven't really had the superstars, other than Ortiz, but we've had no holes. If Drew and his .718 OPS is our weak link, then we're doing just fine.