Re: Sox acquired Brad Emaus
posted at 1/13/2012 9:12 AM EST
In Response to Re: Sox acquired Brad Emaus
[QUOTE]In Response to Re: Sox acquired Brad Emaus : I agree that Aviles is still a major league role player for somebody and as I stated I think he will probably stay with the Red Sox. However, I still think Emaus "can challenge" him for that role. First, both Punto and Scutaro are better defenders at SS then Aviles and Aviles would likely be 3rd in line at SS. Second, you don't need 3 SS's on a team. Finally, Aviles has put up a .689 OPS the last 3 seasons and .698 last season. He did have a .775 OPS for the Sox, but that was with a .317 batting average. Put him at his normal batting average and he probably drops below .700 OPS. He will need to do better then that to play a backup role at 3b, 2b or RF. The last 3 seasons in Spring training, Emaus has put up a .956 OPS with 19/20 w/k rate. That was in 140 ab's. With the pennies being pinched, I can see Emaus replacing Aviles on this roster in the role of backup. Aviles will probably make about a million more then Emaus. I prefer .700+ OPS Emaus for a million less. Especially with the pitch taking that Emaus is known for. I think Emaus can do that. Still think the Red Sox will hold their commodities to start the season and keep Aviles and stash Emaus in AAA. But maybe not.
Posted by BMav[/QUOTE]
Great points, but I do think comparing 3 years of ST stats with regular season stats is pushing it a bit. Another factor involved is how well Aviles looks in the OF. There's a chance we may count on him at the RF platoon for Sweeney.
Another point, Mike's career OPS is .737, so I'd take that number as more representative than the .698 number of 2011. More importantly may be these numbers:
(Excellent numbers for the SS position and better than DMac's numbers vs LHPs as well...4th OF'er?)
Punto is a career .649 hitter vs LHPs and just a little better vs RHPs.
Scutaro was .775 and .743 the last 2 years vs LHPs.
I think we could move Aviles in-season and bring Emaus or Iggy up. The move could also save us half a million on the tax limit as well.
I like Punto at SS, but it's not like he blows Aviles away on defense.
Career RF/9 at SS/2B/3B
I think it's close enough to say Aviles' hitting would make him a better choice at SS than Punto and maybe even Marco, but RF/9 isn't everything.
I have been a big advocate of trading Scutaro to free up cap space and vastly upgrade our fielding at SS with Iggy, so I really like the idea of keeping Aviles aboard as our back-up SS (could PH for Iggy vs LHPs).