Obviously, that ain't happened. In fact, the Sox have played better without him than with him, but of course the sample size is pretty small. You gotta wonder though, if the WAR (wins above replacement) people know what they are doing.
Ellsbury, Napoli, Drew, and Salty are the four key free agents on the current Sox. Most of us think the Sox will make a qualifying offer to Ellsbury, maybe even a good one, but not be able to keep him.
On the other hand, I have not been all that impressed with Bradley--again, a small sample--and think that helps Ellsbury's case a little. Last night there was no hesitation in pinch-hitting for Bradley in a close game. In other games, Victorino has moved to CF and RF/LF have been filled by Nava, Gomes, Carp, as appropriate.
In 2007 Ellsbury had exactly the same opportunities Bradley has had this year, but Ellsbury made the most of them and ended up in the postseason and the World Series despite Crisp being the centerfielder. Most of us don't think Bradley will get to the postseason, especially not if Ellsbury is back. I personally would rather have Berry because of his pinch-running.
Still, it's a mixed bag. The Sox obviously can win without Ellsbury, but for how long? And will Bradley be an adequate replacement in 2014--not as good, but good enough?