Re: Sox place five on two Top 50 prospect lists
posted at 10/13/2012 10:47 AM EDT
In response to ma6dragon9's comment:
...this just reinforces my belief that 2013 should be an "assessment" year ...Shallow FA pool, and lots of youngsters working their way up.
Completely agree on the shallow FA pool and the implication that it doesnt make sense to acquiere an expensive free agent this offseaosn. I like your suggestion of using 2013 as an assesment year.
A couple of things that I would add to this (you may or may not agree): Even though I am using 2013 as an assessment year, I woud not be afraid to trade for an elite player with a big $$ / long term contract. I dont believe that you should let past mistakes (Crawford) close your mind off to potential opportunities. The Sox have a TON of room to take on payroll. If a team is looking to shed, it could be an opportunity to patch a hole for a significant amount of time. HOwever, if the player who we are trading for is expensive, I would want him to be relatively young (under 32 for a power hitter, under 29 for a pitcher, NO SPEEDSTERS). #3 and #4 hitters are extremely hard, so if we can take advantage of our salary flexibility and lock one up for a considerable amount of time, I believe that it is worth it.
Also: If 2013 is a success. Iggy takes a step forward and wins a GG while batting .240, Middlebrooks follows his breakout campaign with a .280,25-30 HR effort, Buchholz wins 17 with an ERA in the mid 3s, Lester wins 16 w an ERA in the high 3's. Pedroia hits over .300, De La Rosa EARNS a spot in the rotation...Dubie takes a step forward....
...Well, if all this happens and you think you have a chance to compete in '14. I wouldnt be shy to add expensive free agents then. Assuming: your scouts are telling you the player is a fit (you have to trust your scouts , even if you are jaded from past misses), you think this player is fills a hole and thereby significantly increases tyour chances of winning in the postseaon, the player is trully elite (I say this because I dont want to pay top dollar whose producting can be obtained through les expensive means).
Overall, I think you have good suggestions for the short term. However, i believe that we should eventually get back to operating like a big market team. Big Market team doesnt mean that you put expensive free agents at every position. It just means that you use ALL mechanisms of fielding the best possible team. Some things that a big market team can do that a small market team cannot:
International Free Agents (a lot of teams could not afford to give Inglesias 9 mil)
Player Retention (holding onto your own developed studs is something that big market teams can do but small market teams often cannot)
Draft/Scouting/Farm/Development (you can pay for the best minor league hitting/pitching coaches and the best scouts)
Trade for players w big contracts w.out having to give up too many prospects because there arent many buyers due to the the fact that many teams cannot take on the salary (note: I was hopeful this waould happen w Mi Cabrerra in 2008. Of course, this is no longer a possibility)
Free Agency (even expensive ones if you have the money and believe they are the missing piece that will put you over the hump).
If you look at rthe AL , the two teams left standing have cores made up of: home grown studs AND expensive free agents. It takes both. Attempting to field a team using only internal candidatesis a flawed model. Howeve,r attempting to field a team using only external candidates is flwed as well