Re: Starters Like Felix Doubront Hinder the team
posted at 6/16/2013 7:57 AM EDT
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to Joebreidey's comment:
In response to hill55's comment:
Perhaps the faulty assumption is that "Morales, Aceves or someone else" could average more innings per start than Felix Doubront.
That just attributes to the fact that there would be no easy replacements. The easy part is saying we should try to improve, but you can say that about almost every position on every team. For the most part, if you want to improve, you replace the worst player on your team with the best value you can find.
I doubt any team in BB would replace someone with a league-average ERA making minimum wage.
A couple points:
1) What do you consider our weakest link right now? (That doesn't necessarily mean who has played the poorest the last week or few weeks.) I'd say 1st is SP, 2nd Middle of the orser RH'd bat, 3rd is 3B, and 4th is OF.
2) The AL average ERA is 4.02 and WHIP of 1.31. SP'ers only: ERA 4.20WHIP 1.32. Doubront is not really close to either of these numbers. Replacing Doubront with an average AL SP would be an improvement on paper anyways. We have cap space to make it happen. We don't have to give up on Doubront or Lester to get another SP. I'm not for trading significant prospects for a rental, so it might not be that easy to upgrade this deadline, but in theory, it is possible.
In keeping with the profile of a .600 team, we have no material weaknesses right now. On the position players, our biggest weakness is 3B, unless we continue to play Iggy there. That's pretty murky with no right answers, so I don't see a trade, unless we want to trade for UIF and send MBR down.
On the pitching side, the biggest weakness is Lester and the lack of a second true ace. If the RS could figure out how to replace Lester with someone like Lee, I'd be full on board. Past that, Bailey would be my concern. That's why I mentioned Paps earlier.
Doubront has had one bad start out of 11 starts. He's had 10/11 starts with 3 runs or less. On a percentage basis, that's probably the best in the league. Verlander has 12/14, Felix 11/15, Sanchez 11/13, Shields 12/14.
Past that, he's pitching excellently recently with a 3.48 ERA over his last 6 starts.
Maybe I'm missing something, but to me, he looks like one of our most conistent pitchers.
And FWIW (SSS), his ERA against our three main competitors is 3.58 (BA), 2.52 (NYY), and 3.86 (TB). It's too small a sample, and mostly unproveable, but Doubront also looks like one our most clutch pitchers as well. I'm not bagging on Lester with this one, but would anyone prefer to see Lester against the NYY instead of Doubront?