Re: Stat Geeks Rejoice - New defensive metric on the way
posted at 3/3/2014 1:20 PM EST
In response to ZILLAGOD's comment:
Of course the "stat geeks" probably had Peyton Manning slicing up the Seattle Seahawks....right?
Did the "stat geeks' not pick the Yankees and Red Sox fighting it out for last place, with Toronto on the rise?.....how did that work out?
Stats are nice for people to wonder about as they pick their fantasy league players. Makes great reading in the offseason, between games.....but when you get between the lines, Mike Napoli defies the experst and homers off Justin Verlander, when the probability monitors say he should strike out. Derek Jeter reaches that groundball the "range" indicators say he shouldn't get to.....
...you can measure all you want, use stats 'til you are seeing numbers in your sleep...but on game day Terry O'Reilly scores the winning goal in overtime...not Guy Lafleur...Papelbon gives up a 3-run homer while Uehara strikes out the side...Kurt Warner gets intercepted while a young unknown named Brady throws a Touchdown.
Stats are fun....championships are won by determination and desire, not by computer geeks. You like stats, there's lots of board games to amuse you.
You know the pendulum swings too far both ways...you can't dismiss them either. Do the stats predict everything??? no and those who think they do are those of us who adhere to them think so do not understand them.
it is effectively impossible to deny stats. You can say "it only matters what they do on the field"
....well....the stats will show that.
Non stats people often think that we look into stats to predict everything, but rather we look at them to tell us what is happening.
If a player is struggling against LHP...then we know to bring in a LH reliever against him and we have a better chance of beating the odds. Will it work all the time? do we have a crystal ball predicting the outcome? of course not, but that doesn't mean when the stats end up failing us that using saber metrics is a futile process....far far from it.
Yes the athletes play the game....but it was the GEEKS who built that 04 team, and that 07 team and that 13 team.