Punto $ 1.5M
D.Mac $____ ($470K/ 1st Arb out of 3 years)
Kalish $____ ($417K/no arb)
Lavarn. $_____ ($ )
Anderson $____ ($415K/ no arb)
Exposito $____ ($414K/no arb)
Tejada $____ ($414K/no arb)
Miller $1.04M (Nonguaranteed)
Doubront $____ ($417K/no arb)
Tazawa $_____ ($1.1M in '11 / pre-arb '12, then 4 (?) arb yrs)
Pimental $_____ ($414K/no arb)
Mortensen $_____ ($ ??)
Aceves $____ ($900K or $1.6M or compromise)
Melancon $_____($421M in '11/ pre-arb '12, then pre-arb or 1 of 3/4 arbs)
Atchison $_____ ($454K, then prearb and 3 arb years)
Bowden $____ ($417K / no arb)
Morales $ 850K
Total Signed (Avg Annual salary including bonus): $148M (22 players)
Plus 15 nonarb players ($15 x ~$450K= $6.75M)
New Est. Total: $158.7 before 2 arbs
Now the 2 Arbs left to sign:
Papi $12.65M or $16M (or agree to a deal)
Aceves $900K or $1.6M (or agree to a deal)
Assuming no side deal:
Total arb cost: $ 13.5M to $17.6M
I'm going to assume Aceves gets $1.3M. That new total is $160M before Papi.
If Papi gets $12.65M, the total is about $173M. If Papi gets $16M, it's $176M. I'm hoping we can work something out with a 2013 team option/buyout that will lessen the tax hit for 2012, maybe something like this: 2012: $13M, '13 team option $11M with a $1.4M buyout. That makes the salary count as $14.4M/2 or a $7.2M AVV. Let's assume Papi agrees to a deal similar to my suggestion. Our new est budget...
Luxury Tax Payroll Budget Total: ~$167.2M (before player benefit payment).
Now, add the player benefits. I have heard $9M. I'm not sure if this is correct.
That means we will probably have about $1.8M to spend and stay under the limit.
That number could come down if Lackey's deal is altered due to the injury clause. His AVV could go from $16.5 to $13.8M. (Subtract about $2.7M from our payroll budget for tax purposes).
It could also go down if we cut Miller loose from his nonguaranteed 1.04M deal.
$5.5M to spend.
This is enough to trade for Floyd, but probably not enough to sign Oswalt or Jackson.
There is also the option of trading salary or cutting any player who wins arb deal (Papi?) since their deals are not guaranteed, but let's assume that won't happen.