Re: The Nitty Gritty on Where the Fault Lies: Offense vs Defense
posted at 5/8/2012 8:56 AM EDT
In Response to Re: The Nitty Gritty on Where the Fault Lies: Offense vs Defense
[QUOTE]The forum had no idea what "median" meant until several forum regulars who had taken courses on statistics in college had to inform others on the improper usage of the term. So many fools come here and try to pretend that they know statistics when they do not but this a typical behavior on this forum. This is why the forum never gets any new members and the old fraternity regulars stay - because they prefer the company of other buffoons and those with opinions and no facts, logic, or reason. To them, the truth is irrelevant and entertainment presides. Newbies who prefer loyalty, sincerity, honesty, deep thought, and logic are dismissed.
Posted by Calzone65[/QUOTE]
Most of us have a pretty clear understanding of stats, but that doesn't stop us from looking at the same numbers and seeing two different things.
The thread on "median averages" was tongue-and-cheek. If you took heart from some of the things I said, then you missed the joke.
Yes, our median runs scored is 4, rather than the much preferred 5. However, we are short 3 starters and are just two 6 run games away from having a median of 6 runs, not 4. Those 3 players are expected back, so using the data to show that our #1 trade/acquire priority is offense is just plain wrong.
Our median runs allowed is 5. Is that acceptable? Which is worse: a median runs scored of 4, or a median runs allowed of 5?
We have Dice-K returning. That's it. We have hopes that Lester and beckett, known for slow starts, will pick up the pace, but it is clear that our biggest need is pitching (and defense).
It would be nice if we could move some of the runs from our big games to the lower scoring games, but the fact is scoring 6 or 7 runs greatly increases the chance of winning over scoring 5 runs. It just hasn't worked out that way as much as it should, because our staff can't even win games we score 9+ runs! We have lost 2 games where we scored 9 or more runs. That's 2 too many.
Yes, 13 games scoring 4 runs or less is about 2-3 games too many, but the fact is, many teams win 20-30 percent of those games by matching up with good/great pitching. We are 1-12 in thiose games, while the league average would be about 3-9 or 4-8. Losing low scoring games is not 100% the offense's fault.