Re: The Red Sox Have No Plan
posted at 12/8/2012 9:30 AM EST
In response to ADG's comment:
Nothing else can explain the Victorino signing other than the fact that they have no plan. Paying this guy and giving him a 38% raise after the season he had is absurd.
Patchwork signings and no room for young players.
Team gets older.
Sometimes patchwork is exactly what is called for...There's a term for in the buisness world it's called manpower planning with an eye on current needs and future based on turnover and growth of a company...
BJ Upton 5-75 million (Braves), Pagan 4-40 (resigned by Giants) & Victorino 3-39 (Red Sox) are three examples of centerfielders that recently signed with Bourn and Hamilton still left on the board. Both of whom are likely to get something north of Upton's AAV with comaparable length.
Carl Crawford's making 20m per (like it or not his contract is used to set the bar for outfielders). Just ask his teamate who last year signed an extension where the AAV exceeds 20M. Victorino @ 13M per is getting about 65% of what Crawford makes. The difference between the two's contracts is that the Dodgers have 100M tied up with Crawford, paying him 60M in the next three years with two years remaining...
Here's what the uninformed baseball people aren't taking into consideration when evauating the merits of the Victorino signing...
1) Victorino profiles as a leadoff hitter and centerfielder (who has the arm and the range to play RF in Fenway)...
2) Jacoby Ellsbury if not traded will be playing his least season as a member of the Boston Red Sox...Meaning that with Victorino if they trade Ells, then he slides over to play CF and will likely be the leadoff hitter in 2013 if they keep Ells and let him play out his contract then in 2014 they have a suitable replacement for him both in center and almost as important at the top of the order.
3) Our best centerfield prospect Jackie Brandley JR. is projected to be ready for his cup of coffee late 2014, if he continues to progress as projected, he'll have a shot at making the roster at the begining of 2015.
Thus the signing of Victorino allows Cherington to deal from a position of strength with Ellsbury. Set in place a manpower transistion plan for centerfield and at the top of the order which buys the organization time to fully evaluate young Bradley.
Call me crazy but anyone that wants to poke holes in the legnth of or the moneys paid to hasn't been paying attention...Luckily Cherington is...the only real risk is that of injuries...with 2015 the only year of this deal where Victorino could become expendable...that is dependent the unknown of if and when Bradley is ready for prime time.