**This is the earliest point in a season where I have packed it in. If we were all healthy, maybe I'd hold on to a sliver of hope, but I just don't see it happening this year.**

That being said, I see basically 2 ways the Sox can win a wild card slot. Both need the Sox to win a high percentage of their remaining games for us to have any chance, but with 5 teams ahead of the Sox trying for the 2 Wild card slots, we need help. I will concentrate on this area for my two areas of hope remaining for the Sox.

Hope 1:

All 5 team beat each other up in head to head games. They split the games about 50-50 with maybe the teams farther behind winning 1 or 2 more games than the others, leaving them all at about 86 to 87 wins. The Sox would have to go about 28-15 to pull even with all the teams.

Hope 2:

1 of the 5 teams goes on a tear, especially against the other 4 teams. knocking them down quickly, everytime they play them. TB or Baltimore makes the most sense as "that team". One would have to almost single-handedly knock the other out of it (with the Sox beating that team as well). Since the Angels are 2.5 behind, they'd have to win more vs Oakland.

Here's a look at who plays who from here on out...

Baltimore:

9 TOR (H6/3A)

7 NYY (H4/3A)

6 T.B. (H3/A3)

6 BOS (H3/A3)

3 @ DET

3 @ TEX

3 @ OAK

3 @ SEA

4 v CWS

The O's have a tough schedule. There really is no easy opp on this list, except maybe Toronto. I think our best chance is for TB to romp BLat in the 6 games they play Baltimore, and Balt wins 2 of 3 with teams like Detroit and Oakland. Of course, Boston would have to go at least 4-2 vs Balt to have a chance.

Tampa Bay:

6 Balt (H3/A3)

6 Bos (H4/A2)

6 NYY (H3/A3)

7 Tor (H4/A3)

6 Tex (H3/A3)

4 @ CWS

3 @ LAA

3 v Oak

3 v KC

Slightly easier than Baltimore's schedule, but difficult none the less.

Detroit:

10 KC (H4/A6)

7 CWS (H3/A4)

6 LAA (H3/A3)

6 Clev (H3/A3)

6 Minn (H3/A3)

3 v Tor

3 v Bal

3 v Oak

So much easier than TB or Baltimore, so maybe we need to hope Detroit goes on a tear and both Baltimore and TB struggle from here on out, leaving Boston in 2nd place in the AL East and a WC berth.

Oakland:

7 TEX (H3/A4)

7 LAA (H3/A4)

6 SEA (H3/A3)

7 CLE (H3/A4)

3@ NYY

3 v BOS

3 @ TB

3 BAL

3 v MIN

Looks tougher than Detroit's. Our hope is Oakland beats other top teams just enough to not beat us out for the last slot, but enough to keep them from running away from everyone.

LAA:

9 SEA (H3/A6)

7 Oak (H4/A3)

6 DET (H3/A3)

3 @ BOS

3 v TB

3 v TEX

3 v CWS

For us to win 28 games and have a good chance, we need to do this:

Boston:

9 NYY (H3/A6) 5-4

6 LAA (H3/A3) 4-2

6 TOR (H3/A3) 4-2

6 TB (H2/A4) 4-2

6 Bal (H3/A3) 4-2

3 @ Oak 2-1

3 @ SEA 2-1

4 v KC 3-1

I can see how some are clinging to hope, but I don't see it happening.

3 @ KC

That being said, I see basically 2 ways the Sox can win a wild card slot. Both need the Sox to win a high percentage of their remaining games for us to have any chance, but with 5 teams ahead of the Sox trying for the 2 Wild card slots, we need help. I will concentrate on this area for my two areas of hope remaining for the Sox.

Hope 1:

All 5 team beat each other up in head to head games. They split the games about 50-50 with maybe the teams farther behind winning 1 or 2 more games than the others, leaving them all at about 86 to 87 wins. The Sox would have to go about 28-15 to pull even with all the teams.

Hope 2:

1 of the 5 teams goes on a tear, especially against the other 4 teams. knocking them down quickly, everytime they play them. TB or Baltimore makes the most sense as "that team". One would have to almost single-handedly knock the other out of it (with the Sox beating that team as well). Since the Angels are 2.5 behind, they'd have to win more vs Oakland.

Here's a look at who plays who from here on out...

Baltimore:

9 TOR (H6/3A)

7 NYY (H4/3A)

6 T.B. (H3/A3)

6 BOS (H3/A3)

3 @ DET

3 @ TEX

3 @ OAK

3 @ SEA

4 v CWS

The O's have a tough schedule. There really is no easy opp on this list, except maybe Toronto. I think our best chance is for TB to romp BLat in the 6 games they play Baltimore, and Balt wins 2 of 3 with teams like Detroit and Oakland. Of course, Boston would have to go at least 4-2 vs Balt to have a chance.

Tampa Bay:

6 Balt (H3/A3)

6 Bos (H4/A2)

6 NYY (H3/A3)

7 Tor (H4/A3)

6 Tex (H3/A3)

4 @ CWS

3 @ LAA

3 v Oak

3 v KC

Slightly easier than Baltimore's schedule, but difficult none the less.

Detroit:

10 KC (H4/A6)

7 CWS (H3/A4)

6 LAA (H3/A3)

6 Clev (H3/A3)

6 Minn (H3/A3)

3 v Tor

3 v Bal

3 v Oak

So much easier than TB or Baltimore, so maybe we need to hope Detroit goes on a tear and both Baltimore and TB struggle from here on out, leaving Boston in 2nd place in the AL East and a WC berth.

Oakland:

7 TEX (H3/A4)

7 LAA (H3/A4)

6 SEA (H3/A3)

7 CLE (H3/A4)

3@ NYY

3 v BOS

3 @ TB

3 BAL

3 v MIN

Looks tougher than Detroit's. Our hope is Oakland beats other top teams just enough to not beat us out for the last slot, but enough to keep them from running away from everyone.

LAA:

9 SEA (H3/A6)

7 Oak (H4/A3)

6 DET (H3/A3)

3 @ BOS

3 v TB

3 v TEX

3 v CWS

For us to win 28 games and have a good chance, we need to do this:

Boston:

9 NYY (H3/A6) 5-4

6 LAA (H3/A3) 4-2

6 TOR (H3/A3) 4-2

6 TB (H2/A4) 4-2

6 Bal (H3/A3) 4-2

3 @ Oak 2-1

3 @ SEA 2-1

4 v KC 3-1

I can see how some are clinging to hope, but I don't see it happening.

3 @ KC