Re: This offseason, will the Sox get themselves involved with CC Sabathia’s opt-out?
posted at 7/24/2011 3:31 PM EDT
CC could take the $23M x 4 years and be 35 at the end of the deal. He may think he can sign a 5-7 or even more year deal and make much more than the $23Mx4 plus whatever he can get at age 35 afterwards.
His size worries me, but the guy has stayed healthy for many years so far. I think Andrew is right: $150M/6 or more is what he should get. I could see somebody paying $170+M/7 or $185+M/8. It's not an easy decision for CC.
For arguments sake, let's say we sign CC for $168M/7 ($24M/year). It would be very tight on the CAP threshold to be able to keep Papi and Papelbon and most of arb players being kept and given arb raises, but I think it could be done if we say goodbye to Drew ($14M), Scutaro ($6M), Wheeler ($3M), Atchison Oki, & Hill, and arbs: Tazawa ($1.1M) and Morales ($0.424M). Theo can get creative with the Papi and Papelbon deals to lessen the luxury CAP yearly numbers.
There is also the possibility of cutting VTek ($2M) and/or Wake ($2M) loose, but I doubt Theo will, just to saveless than $1-2M of luxury Cap overage fees.
Perhaps he could also trade a higher priced player to make room like:
Crawford $20.3M/yr (eat some of his contract)
Lackey $16.5M/yr (eat some of his contract)
Dice-K $8.7M/yr (eat almost all of his contract)
Jenks $6M/yr (eat part of his contract)
This would be a pretty nice 25 man roster for 2012:
C3/DH: Lavarnway or OF: DMac if Iglesias over Navarro
IF: Iglesias or IF/OF: Navarro