Re: Three (Possibly) True Outcomes: Xander Bogaerts; Blog article
posted at 6/13/2013 10:07 AM EDT
In response to ctredsoxfanhugh's comment:
In response to southpaw777's comment:
Saw him play last night in a DH in Portland. Not the first time. His footwotk, to me anyway, tells me he wont stick at SS. There was a few plays where it was pretty noticable. Hes going to be in AA all year, IMO. They arent going to rush him. Nor should they. Still can get fooled pretty easily at the plate. Good MLB pitchers will still be able to handle him more times than not right now.
Hes going to be a very good player though. 300BA 30 HR potential. I say he ends up in LF.
I agree that I think he enevitably moves off the postion. For whatever reason scouts say that he has improved his defense at SS this year and has much more of a chance of sticking. I saw him down in New Britain and he didn't look that sharp, but maybe me and you happened to see him during a bad day who knows. With Iggy looking like he might hit just enough (at the very least) to justify his defense then Xander may move off position.
The thing is Xander is so good you don't move him to make room for him, you move another player to make room for him. Whatever position he can play best is the position he plays IMO.
I disagree that he stays in Portland this year, while the Sox do tend to be more conservative than most teams I just feel that Xander is the exception. That upper echelon of players always moves quick through anyones system. I'm normally the guy who try's to convince everyone to ire on the side of caution and take it easy with prospects (JBJ after spring training for example) But Xander is that special player that when he shows you he has nothing left to prove....you move him.
He hits everyone in Portland, even his outs are loud. He drives pitches outside to the opposite field, he doesn't get fooled by offspeed offerings, and he will take his walks all day long. He really has zero left to learn in AA.
In most other systems I'd say Bogaerts is the guy who gets promoted from AA to the bigs, but I think he gets the call up to Pawtucket soon. Sometime within the next 30 days he is there....I'd bet on that.
Ok, I could move off of him sticking in AA, but I still dont think he will see anything more than a game or 2 in sept, IF at all. I still think good MLB pitchers will fool him on breaking balls right now, although he does appear to have got better with his pitch recognition from last year. Hey, if im wrong that can only mean good things for the Sox, right? Im just the cautious type with prospects.
We do agree that the kid is a special kind of player and will be in Fenway Park full time by the end of next year.