Re: Time to Bench Salty
posted at 6/13/2013 7:31 PM EDT
In response to BMav's comment:
Since people are trying to say Salty is doing well, time to point out the ugly.
First, Ross still has a huge edge in CERA...
More then a run difference. For the 3rd year in a row. People say its all about pitcher to pitcher comparisons. Well, Ross has a 13-3 edge head to head in CERA. Salty only has an edge with Lester, Aceves, and Tazawa. And for the 3rd year in a row, Salty trails in head to head CERA comparisons to the back up catcher.
According to Fangraphs his defense has been very bad. Ranking near the bottom in DRS[-4]. And his throwing is the worst of his career[13%]
As for offense, Salty is striking out at the worst clip of his career[33.7]. The thing producing his very good OPS is his .398 BABIP. Luck.
Salty is still a bad catcher and a scary proposition going forward. I sure hope we don't extend him.
Good points, but the improvement with pitchers from 2011 and early 2012 to later 2012 and this year is profound. Also, his comparison with Ross is a bit better when comparing OPS against vs CERA.
The 3 pitchers with the largest sample sizes in both 2012 and 2013...
His improvement with these pitchers cannot be ignored:
Lester 5.62 > 3.06 (better by 2.56)
Buch 6.30 > 1.85 (better by 4.45)
Doub 4.95 > 4.79 (better by 0.16)
Let's compare how these guys improved from Shoppach to Ross:
Lester 3.70 > 4.26 (worse by 0.56)
Buch 3.23 > 1.51 (better by 1.72)
Doub 4.18 > 3.60 (better by 0.58)
I am troubled by his increase in PB+WP per inning rate. His CS rate getting worse from a bad spot to start with, but other areas such as pitch framing has been very good.
His better OPS is surely fueled by a high BAbip, but that is not all of the improvement. His BB% has gone from 6.2% to 8.5% to 8.8% over his 3 years with the Sox.