Re: Time to Bench Salty
posted at 8/26/2013 8:43 PM EDT
what do you guys think the starting point for saltys contract is going to be??
in 2012, the top catchers made ~8 Mil give or take with Mauer being the outlier @ 23M per. McCan was the next highest at 10.5 and the only other catcher making 8 figures. IMO Salty is a top 10 catcher this year and should be paid like one. So my starting point for negotiations is 7M per. I'd go with a 3 year deal too bringing my starting offer to 7/21 which would be a very good value for a top catcher. Realistically, with the rising salaries among all players good and bad (im looking at you BJ Upton) and a better FA catcher available who will likely set the market i think Salty will get 9-10M per on the open market. Which i would still do for 3 years.
so my range for Saltys future contract is 3 years, 21-27M. Which like i said, i would do without thinking twice. what do you guys think?
Not many posters agreed with my suggestion that we extend Salty last winter. His price tag has certainly gone up, assuming he doesn't drop off a cliff these last 5-6 weeks. One of his biggest negatives has been the preception that he has little durability or stamina.
What will Salty get this winter? Hard to say.
Russell Martin got $17M/2
Pierzynski got $7.5M/1
D Ross got $6.2M/2
I have to think Salty will get more than Martin got. My guess is he will get close to $30M/3 or $36M/4. He might get more.
I think one idea coud be to offer him a low risk 1 year deal at about $14M- a qualiftying offer. If he takes it, he will be overpayed, but the longterm risk is nill, and we have several catching prospects on the rise. If he turns it down, the loss of a draft pick may scare a lot of bidders away. He almost has to take the $14M/1 offer.
Personally, I'd offer close to $30M/3. If one of our catching prospects rises quickly, we can always make a trade.