Re: Trading, with an eye to the future
posted at 7/13/2011 4:53 PM EDT
In Response to Trading, with an eye to the future
[QUOTE]One of the essential principles in business or baseball is that you don't rob Peter to pay Paul (unless Peter's back is turned?). Whatever the Red Sox do at the trade deadline, and in the off-season, they should avoid creating new problems that will need to be addressed a year or two later. So based on the current roster, what might the team look like in 2014? Players under contract or not yet FA-eligible: SP: Beckett, Lester, Buchholz, Lackey, Miller RP: Bard, Aceves, Morales OF: Crawford IF: Gonzalez, Pedroia C: Salty Advanced prospects who might reasonably start 2014 in the majors (boldface for those I have the most confidence in): SP: Ranaudo RP: Doubront, Weiland, Wilson OF: Reddick , Kalish, Hassan IF: Navarro, Middlebrooks , Iglesias C/DH: Lavarnway , Federowicz Conclusions: They seem to have enough pitching to meet most of their needs going forward. Trading Doubront or Weiland could make sense in the right deal, as long as the Sox aren't getting Wily Mo Pena in return. For 2012, we have one opening in the outfield and three advanced prospects with which to plug it. Trading Kalish to fill a short-term need could make sense, if you have confidence in Reddick's ability to step into the job for the longer term. Hassan, as a RHH, might fit in a bench role, though I question his range in Fenway's RF. Middlebrooks and Iglesias both ought to be untouchable, at least if you believe they will develop into quality players. Shortstop and third base are two of the hardest positions to fill through free agency or trade. Lavarnway is showing tremendous offensive potential at Pawtucket, but defensively does not seem to be a fit as a starting catcher. One of the key decisions the Red Sox need to make is whether to make room for him at DH or use him as a trading chip (while resigning Ortiz). Note that Hassan would also be a reasonable fit as a DH in a few years, if he continues to progress. The other key decisions in the coming years will be to extend, trade, or replace Papelbon at closer and Ellsbury in center field. There should be enough money available, if management believes in each going forward.
Posted by thirtysomething[/QUOTE]Solid post thirty,
but we have a few differences. I see Doubront along with Kalish or Reddick being dangled as trade bait and possibly packaged at some point with Lowrie.My 2014 lineup would look something like this ...Ellsbury CF
, I don't see Theo messing with success at leadoff. He gambled once with Damon and it hurt. If Iglesias can improve offensively to the point of leading off it could change but nobody else can take that role at this point.RHH - Pede 2B
,LHH - Crawford LFLHH - Gonzo 1BRHH - Youk DH or Lavarnway -
Youk could become a trade chip if the kid continues to assault the baseball.
???????????? RF -
My wish is still to see Westmoreland recover at some point
and according to most sources hes making great strides. Outside of that I have no idea what Theo's plan may be for the future.
RHH - Middlebrooks 3B
SWH - Salty and Fed,
who is an outstanding defender and beginning to raise his offense.
Theo likes Salty and feels he could have a similar career as Tek.
RHH- Iglesias SS
- Lester, Beckett, Clay, Miller? and Renaudo
- Anthony has a good fastball and curveball but will need to develop a "change up" before getting a shot at the bigs. At 21, I think he has a higher ceiling than Weiland who is now 24.
I see Lackeys
arm giving out before his contract expires.