Re: Vote for Salty in 2013!
posted at 9/17/2012 9:44 PM EDT
So in reality, it's fine to wait three to five years "if thats the case" for Salty to improve enough to help our team win, not just improve defensively?
5 years? I'm talking here and now.
His PB & WPs do not need to be improved.
His CERA with this staff is not a negative.
His OBP and CS rate needs to improve, but we are starting to see signs of more BBs in his most recent games. (6 BBs in his last 25 PAs)
When you compare Salty to other ML catchers, he IS HELPING US WIN NOW more than he is hurting. Any further improvement would be gravy.
moon, you and I both know CERA is a about as useful to expert sources as any stat in baseball. Salty has one stat which is SLG against RHP that stands out offensively, otherwise hes pretty much an automatic out. He may have a few good stretches but not enough to make a huge difference.
Since most catchers do not approach 650 PAs in a season (unless they DH some), playing Salty basically only vs RH'd starters still placed him #13 in catcher PAs this year. He doesn't need to hit vs LHPs that often to make it an issue. Finding a RH'd hitting back-up catcher is as easy as signing a Kelly Shoppach.
He could easily get 400-450 PAs vs RHPs and only 50 vs LHPs with expert managing. You may try to minimize the importance of SLG% vs RHPs only, but a great slugging percent for 400-450 PAs can be a huge asset-- an asset most MLb catchers can't come close to matching.
If you prorate Salty's 2012 numbers vs RHPs to 650 PAs, this would be his line (before the 2 BBs tonight):
.238 41 91
OBP: .298 (probably over .300 now)
OPS: .795 (probably close to .800 now)
Sure, I'd love for him to improve vs LHPs, but catchers need to rest more often anyways, so I do not see it as a major negative in his overall skillset evaluation.
I hope he does well next season but it remains to be seen.
Sure it does, but here are some more pro-rated numbers (650 PAs):
Home: .245 34 83 (.774)
Away: .218 36 78 (.759)... actually a higher OBP away (.295 to .289).
Most of our players have a way worse away OPS than home OPS.