Re: What about Salty?
posted at 11/7/2013 8:34 PM EST
A 3% better CS rate does not make him a better overall defensive catcher.
The CERA number is an NL number where there is no DH.
Compare his CERA with other catchers on his team over the years. Compare the win% of the team when he started vs the back-up.
3% better with a lot fewer attempts makes him better stat wise at least. Whether he is better at throwing might still depend on the pitchers. I expect him to be a bad thrower, but slightly better then Salty. We might find out. Personally, throwing isn't that important to me anyway.
McCann is a better thrower than Salty for sure, but not much better.
The average N.L. ERA this year was 3.73 without the DH. McCann's CERA the last 5 years has never been above that. This year, McCann had a slightly better CERA then Evan Gattis and about a full run better then Gerald Laird. In past seasons, he had a better CERA in 2012 then David Ross, but somewhat worse the 3 previous seasons. Over the 4 seasons, slightly worse then Ross, but getting better. I find these numbers satisfactory for me. David Ross is a very good defensive catcher. He beat him last year and was close enough the previous years to feel solid about McCanns defense. And since I only consider his defense only average-good, these numbers are in line with that.
I do not compare CERA between catchers on other teams, catching other staffs, in different parks, etc... I don't even value comparing overall CERA between catchers on the same team, unless they both caught the same pitchers in a relatively similar percentage of the time.
I have no idea how good Gattis or Laird are at handling a staff.
To me, the only CERA numbers that matter are the ones pitcher by pitcher with each catcher and with significant sample sizes each. Also, if the back-up to McCann is not known as a good defensive catcher, then the fact that McCann has better CERA and OPS against numbers is not a feather in his cap.
Here are some recent McCann numbers:
OPS against (PAs)
2013 McCann Gatti
Minor .650 (426) .600 (247)
Medlen .730 (601) .615 (247)
Teheran .666 (432) .741 (27)
Maholm .783 (299) .676 (286)
Hudson .686 (308) .512 (183)
A Wood .646 (197) .203 (25)
The only pitcher McCann did better with, Gatti had a super tiny sample size of just 27 PAs. Out of all the pitchers with sample sizes of 180+ PAs with both catchers Gatti wins 5-0.
Looking at 2012 might be more like comparing apples to apples as Ross was McCann's back-up:
2012: OPS against (PAs)
Minor .707 (635) .584 (71)
Hudson .625 (457) .730 (292)
Hanson .803 (524) .823 (233)
Medlen .528 (348) .488 (166)
Delgado .708 (211) .760 (187)
Beachy .469 (242) .652 (53)
Martinez .750 (191) .783 (115)
Here it looks like McCann did better (4-1 when both catchers had 160+ PA samples)
Minor 4.04 3.93
Hudson 3.15 4.35
Hanson 4.90 3.64
Medlen 1.75 0.81
Delgado 4.15 4.70
Beachy 1.58 4.05
Martinez 4.09 3.90
Maholm 3.44 3.86
Of the 5 with larger sample sizes (in blue), Ross wins 3-2.
I'm not about to go back and do tons of research until we sign McCann, but on the surface, he looks OK in this area over the last 2 years.
(Salty looks OK too, this year and after April 25th of 2012.)