Re: What Team Would Have Been More Fun To Watch And Maybe Even Better?
posted at 3/17/2013 6:59 PM EDT
Sometimes punting is the smart thing to do. Sometimes a punt is an offensive weapon. Sometimes a punt wins. We have a strong defense.
There are so many reasons the Red Sox are going to be dramatically better.
Nobody here is projecting 69 wins in 2013.
Let me count the ways....
1-No Bobbie. That might be worth 5-10 games alone. The team had the worst attitude I have ever seen in baseball. EVERYDAY it seemed like a funeral. Like death. You could smell the stench. When they played Sweet Caroline, it sounded like a dirge. There was a black plague that was hanging in the mist. It wasn't even avoiding Ellspuff. And their lack of fight was obvious both late in games and late in the season. I remember only two comebacks. Watching the games was torture. And that was early in the season. A nightmare from day 1.
Losing breeds a poor attitude. Nobody complained about Beckett's attitude after his masterful 2007 playoff run.
I agree though, our manager and attitude should be much better this year.
2-Luck. This is partly connected to the above Bobbie theory. But only partly. They were 5 games unlucky last year. Five games. With some luck they could gain 10-15 wins alone.
What 5 games? Why should our luck be much better this year?
3-The addition of 8 quality players via trade and free agency with the loss of just 1.
No AGon. No Cody Ross. That's 2. No Beckett and CC. Yeah, they didn't help much in 2012, but Josh did in 2007, 2009, and 2011.
This could add easily 8-12 wins. I really like most of their additions. Good moves. Good players. A lot more depth too, which will help in case number 4 doesn't go perfectly.......
Our depth did great last year: Middlebrooks, Ross, Ciriaco, Pods...
4-Health. We were very ill last year. Ells, Pedey, Middlebrooks, Lackey etc. This could easily add 7-15 games. Right now, only Papi's health is concerning me. We are off to a good start.
It looks like 5 g4ys might start on the DL: Papi, Drew, Breslow, and Morales. We added old players. We added players with serious injuries. We did not get younger.
5-Play up to ability. Who played over their heads? I know a number of guys who played under.
Expecting everyone to play to their ability is setting yourself up to be dissapointed.
6-Magic minor leaguers. Remember how valuable Middlebrooks was? Now multiply that by 4...JBJ, Bogaerts, Webster and RDR. They could add a lot of wins in the middle of the season.
I hope so, and you left our Iggy.
7-Miscellaneous. I think the pitch taking skills are going to be a huge plus. Playing more shift. Better defense at catcher. The Astro's. The Yankees.
More AL teams improved than got worse.
Sure, we lost Agon and Beckett. Their 2.4 wins combined between them are gone. My guess is that their replacements will do better then that.
Naps and Dempster will do better? I hope so.
I am going with 90 wins and the division title. If not, we can take advantage of that excellent field position we obtained via our punt and we can sell off a ton at the deadline if we are at 500 or worse and line up on 1st down in 2014 and start again.
What if we are close enough to not be sellers, and then miss the playoffs. We'll have nothing to show for this winter, just a draft pick for the departing Ellsbury, and aging players getting paid big money still under contract for a year or two more. We'd have missed a year to improve. Yes, we'll have a better understanding of what kids we can count on, but that's not getting better.