What's your over/under?

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from EnchiladaT. Show EnchiladaT's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    u wanna put all that in one thread rather than trying to drive up your thread total harness? I mean Joe

     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from SinceYaz. Show SinceYaz's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    Anyone thinking ...going to another ALE team... that the over/under of the Blue Jays may just be as full of explosive "what-ifs" as anybody has anywhere?  Reyes is great - when he plays, but he is very, very often injured.  JJ may come back but ...  Buerhle (sp) hasn't measured up to the guy some of us hoped we might pick up a short while back, ....and so on.

     
  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from Joebreidey. Show Joebreidey's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to EnchiladaT's comment:

    u wanna put all that in one thread rather than trying to drive up your thread total harness? I mean Joe



    Again, you need to be more specific.  I have no idea what you are talking about.

     
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  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from ADG. Show ADG's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    82-80.

    The starting pitching question marks are the biggest issue.

    Lester, Buchholz, Lackey, Dempster and Doubront. There's no reserves behind that when someone gets hurt.

     
  6. You have chosen to ignore posts from nhsteven. Show nhsteven's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to EnchiladaT's comment:

    nhsteven entirely irrelevant since his boyfriend retired from the forum.



    Please take your maturity pills. Maybe then the picky flies shall reconsider.  

     
  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from Joebreidey. Show Joebreidey's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to nhsteven's comment:

    In response to EnchiladaT's comment:

    nhsteven entirely irrelevant since his boyfriend retired from the forum.



    Please take your maturity pills. Maybe then the picky flies shall reconsider.  



    I agree.  Implying that someone is gay, and then using that as a pejorative, is silly.

     
  8. You have chosen to ignore posts from Joebreidey. Show Joebreidey's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to Softlaw1's comment:

    From 86 to 90 is similar to the difference in having to go another 15 meters to finish a 100M sprint. It may appear to be minimal, but it's not. No AL team will ever dominate with a couple of top pitchers, anymore. The "it's the pitching" is archaic. It's all about total roster construction and whether a team is built to get in the playoffs and has one top SP and another above average SP.



    You could be right, but I'd liken it to someone that is a 200M runner facing off against someone that is a 60M specialist.  If they were perfectly matched at 100M, the advantage goes to the 200M runner at 115M.  Close enough, but not quite linear.

     
  9. You have chosen to ignore posts from nhsteven. Show nhsteven's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to Joebreidey's comment:

    In response to nhsteven's comment:

    In response to EnchiladaT's comment:

    nhsteven entirely irrelevant since his boyfriend retired from the forum.



    Please take your maturity pills. Maybe then the picky flies shall reconsider.  



    I agree.  Implying that someone is gay, and then using that as a pejorative, is silly.



    He's not exactly a crack alias exposer either.

     
  10. You have chosen to ignore posts from J-BAY. Show J-BAY's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    OVER

     
  11. You have chosen to ignore posts from royf19. Show royf19's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to carnie's comment:

    OK, the roster is almost set and I reckon it's prediction time. I'm going to arbitrarily set the over/under on the Boston Red Sox at 85 wins. Time to put your money where your mouth is. I'm taking the over. Anyone else?




    I'm not quite convinced the roster is set. You're probably right.

    If it is set, I'll say 92 wins.

     
  12. You have chosen to ignore posts from parhunter55. Show parhunter55's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    2 over.  I really hate to make any predictions about wins totals as I have been wrong by a lot for two straight seasons, predicting well above their actual totals.  But here's hoping that this prediction (my lowest in some time) actually ends up being low.

     
  13. You have chosen to ignore posts from cassvt2004. Show cassvt2004's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    87-75.  Will fight for the 2nd wild card to the end, get in on the last day, then lose in the 1 game playoff because they don't have that big gmae stopper and their bullpen (which looks to be the strength of this team, will be shot).  It'll be looked at as a huge morale boost because they technically make the playoffs, and hopes will be high with the youngsters coming in 2014

     
  14. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to Alibiike's comment:

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    In response to Alibiike's comment:

    85 wins means an average of ~14 wins per starter. I just don't see it happening. With at least one bonafide 20 game winner in the rotation, maybe.




    It's actually about a 17-16 record in games from each of the 5 starter slots.

     

    (I still think the over/under is more like 80 wins, as of right now.)



    Well, I was looking at the BP to pick up the rest of the wins necessary. 14 would net them 70 wins.

    3 years ago, I would have said it was doable, but I really think opposing hitters have figured out Lester. Buchholz is inconsistent, Lackey is a huge "if", and Dempster is a .500 guy. Really, I think Doubront has the best chance at winning 20 but his immaturity could be his undoing.




    The chances are near zero that a guy with a 1.45 WHIP wins 20 games the next year. I seriously doubt any of our starters win even 17 games.

     
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  16. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    If we "do the math", it's all about scoring early so our starters have any chance at winning. The "median average" proves my point.

     
  17. You have chosen to ignore posts from Drewski5. Show Drewski5's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to Softlaw1's comment:

    From 86 to 90 is similar to the difference in having to go another 15 meters to finish a 100M sprint. It may appear to be minimal, but it's not. No AL team will ever dominate with a couple of top pitchers, anymore. The "it's the pitching" is archaic. It's all about total roster construction and whether a team is built to get in the playoffs and has one top SP and another above average SP.



    To argue "it's the pitching" implies that there is a specific "championship formula" that every team w/ world series aspirations must follow.  This is absurd, as every team that has ever won a championship, has done it in a different way than every team before.  Some teams have won with elite pitching, and some have won with elite hitting.

    I would argue that if there is an element that every championship team has had, that element is luck.  It certainly isnt elite pitching.  Great post.

     
  18. You have chosen to ignore posts from EnchiladaT. Show EnchiladaT's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to Joebreidey's comment:

    In response to EnchiladaT's comment:

    u wanna put all that in one thread rather than trying to drive up your thread total harness? I mean Joe



    Again, you need to be more specific.  I have no idea what you are talking about.



    hey neither do I

     
  19. You have chosen to ignore posts from emp9. Show emp9's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    A lot of talk about the new guys we picked-up, but I'm betting on the ones we've had all along. I say OVER. 

     
  20. You have chosen to ignore posts from kimsaysthis. Show kimsaysthis's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to EnchiladaT's comment:

    In response to Joebreidey's comment:

    In response to EnchiladaT's comment:

    u wanna put all that in one thread rather than trying to drive up your thread total harness? I mean Joe



    Again, you need to be more specific.  I have no idea what you are talking about.



    hey neither do I




    Glad that's settled since I never know what you're talking about.

     
  21. You have chosen to ignore posts from kimsaysthis. Show kimsaysthis's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    OVER

     
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  24. You have chosen to ignore posts from Sheriff-Rojas. Show Sheriff-Rojas's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    Overalls

    and underwear

    I'll vacillate and say 85 wins.

     

     
  25. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: What's your over/under?

    In response to Softlaw1's comment:

    If we "do the math", it's all about scoring early so our starters have any chance at winning. The "median average" proves my point.

    Please, let's see more of those nightmare length snipets about why you claim Tim Wastefield was the best #4 or #5 or #6 in MLB.




    Again, inventiong strawmen, then proceeding with more drivel. Get back to me when you have something new and realistic to say.

     
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