Re: why does nobody miss adrian gonzalez
posted at 10/31/2012 3:46 PM EDT
In response to TrotterNixon's comment:
I would target, in no particular order, Ike Davis, depending on the prospects, and Youkilis, VMart, and Morneau as shorter term solutions. In VMart and Morneau's cae, depending on how much salary relief they came with. I'd also see how much Napoli is asking for.
Youkilis as a 1st base solution is absurd, don't you think?
Why bother on Ike Davis (not my idea of a long term Red Sox 1st baseman) when the Tigers will trade farm scraps for VMart? Why ask for salary relief for VMart's last 2 years, when the Red Sox could easily just take the contract and pay farm scraps and then, because VMart is such a gifted all around hitter who can DH/Catch/1B, easily be traded if a better option comes along for the long term?
Morneau isn't the value that VMart is, don't you think? I doubt the Twins will offer any cash if they trade him, but it would need to be a lot given his contract and profile which would be a lot of dead weight if he later needs to be moved.
I agree, if VMart can't be obtained for farm scraps and taking all of his 2 years of salary, Napoli and a 2 year market base offer is the right move. If there is a 3 year marekt for Napoli then the Red Sox should pass.
On catcher, I think the market is such that the Red Sox best value move is to go with Lavarway as the primary catcher and Salty as the backup. If they acquire VMart or Napoi they will create game management advantages that would help them win more games in 2013.
Salty cannot be the full-time catcher with his butcher fielding. He can be an adequate backup where he is best suited anyway. He lacks the focus and agility to play any MLB position full time, and he can't hit well enough to DH full-time.
1-Youk is not absurd. He is risky. I actually like him more for CL, where an absence of a month wouldn't make that much difference. I like him as a straight value play, but we'd need someone that could handle 1st for a month or 6 weeks.
2-On Davis, it all depends on his cost v the alternatives.
3-On VMart, if we weren't willing to pay $52M/4 for VMart to catch parttime, why would we want to pay $26M/2, now that he is two years older, more injury-prone, and not even guaranteed to come back full-strength? The Tigers gambled and lost, and now have to pay. He's a nice fit, particualrly as a SH, but I'd be careful of projecting him as 1B/C/DH. In the past two seasons, he has 52 IPs catching, and 219 IPs at 1st.
4-On Morneau, I'm a sucker for one-year make-good deals. I doubt MN will have much interest in retaining him for anything but goodwill value. He can probably still get us ~ .800 OPS with 20 HRs. And plays well enough to have a none-zero chance of being worthy of a qualifying offer after 2013.
5-On Salty, his CERA is indeed worrisome. So I wouldn't necessarily think in terms of either/or Napoli or VMart. If I got one, I would still pursue the other. Neither one is that expensive that it shuts us down if we acquire both. Between 1B, catcher, and DH, they'll be ABs to go around. If we did sign both, I'd put out feelers on both Lav and Salty to see what the interest is.
FWIW, nice post.