Because if he's told to just get on base and he's put in front of Pedroia and AGon he will excel because he will stop trying to do it all when told he was a #3 hitter who could slug like he was needed to do in Tampa. His expectations will change and so will his approach. He is pressing to try and slug for that contract, and is not going the other way and chipping the ball, bunting for hits and showing confidence and poise in PA. Get him out of current role ASAP!
2. Why do you think there is "no way" the RS will outbid for Kemp in FA? Seems to me they can and have done this numerous times ... notably for various deals you don't like.
Red Sox have never outbid for a FA the Yankees were after. Never!
Do you think they are going to get a significant discount from Kemp by trading / extending?
No, but short of accident or injury, it will be a discount becuase the Yankees will shoot the moon if it goes to FA.
If not, getting the picks and Kemp seems like a better deal.
No way the Red Sox are "getting picks and Kemp". On picks, assumption of Type A and what CBA will say is a variable, and even assuming picks it is true that picks are years away and never any sure MLB talent. Just because some work out isn't a valid basis to ignore all the ones that don't. Not a reason to do business one way.
Bottom line, Agon via trade was essential and he is a true sports hero for allowing theo to hedge and not burning him for amateurism.
Yankees were not going to bid seriously on Agon, only phony head fakes to try and induce a higher Red Sox bid. Remember the Yankee bluff about bidding on Lowell and moving him to 1st?
Yankees will bid the top amount for Kemp. Pretty obvious, isn't it.
Only way to get Kemp is trade. And it should be full court press to do so becuase you can bet the Yankees will be called to increase trade package price for Dodgers. Red Sox are now lineup up perfectly to get Kemp and cut off the Yankees. Red Sox have Lowrie and Ellsbury and the parts to beat the Yankee trade package because Cashman has had too many trade desperation deals in recent years. I'm not saying who Dodgers will want to close the deal, but I am saying the Red Sox have the expendable parts to make a deal that will make them better for many years to come, excluding inherent act of God risk.
Especially if you consider that Kemp and the Dodgers may be selling high after his career year.
Of course Dodgers will be soliciting offers high. So what if the parts are there that make both teams better and fit both teams and provide good value risk for both teams.
Also, I take issue with your characterizations that:
I never said he would exceed his career OBP averages. I said he will return to them and will excel in a role of simply getting on base. In Tampa, they needed slug aspect and Crawford's career averages are lower because of it. If he is told to take the role, he will if healthy put up the upper register of standard deviation on OBP to 2009 and 2010 levels. His contract was a mistake and he was put in wrong role and it has ruined him for 2011 averages.
2 - he will "make better contract and be more selective instead of the futile effort to slug becuase of the terrible error by Theo to expect slugging #3 skillset to be part of his packa[g]e."
True! The guy has been trying to live up to the weight of this contract and a role he can't excel in. His numbers are so are off it is the equivalent of a mental illness. He's pressing and I confess and regret my acerbic criticism of him as a bust. It's not his fault, it is Theo''s fault for putting him in the wrong role. Crawford was not a fit! But that isn't his fault. If Ellsbury, loved by Red Sox fans and most certainly a burden on Crawford along with that contract, goes and Crawford is told the fans and team believe in him and want him to take over that role for business reasons and not to try and do too much, a .350 OBP over big sample will be fine and not to worry about bust complaints. I think with fan and team support he will excel in that role on this team. Fans must not make mistake of taking out frustrations on Theo's decision on Crawford leading to a fan favorite farm grown player leaving town. Support Crawford as I will be doing for here on out.
Perhaps, but I don't think so. It was an awkward situation from the moment Theo called Cameron and it was clear that Ellsbury was not going to get the FA contract Crawford got. Say what you want, but there is no sense in Crawford and Ellsbury being 40M when the Red Sox need a complimentary long term OF part. That's bad business and not in the best interest of the team.
Regardless of title for 2011 or not, take care of business not based upon emotion and do not allow the Yankees to get upper hand.