Re: Will Ellsbury Stay?
posted at 5/26/2013 9:30 PM EDT
In response to darrylfries' comment:
Having Bradley in center and Ells in left would be a great defensive outfield and give us two speedsters on the bases With Vic's repeated injuries and Gomes hitting .200 were not exactly overloaded with outfielders. I would make Ells an offer 50 to 56 mil for 4 years depending on his performace the rest of the season,
. At this time we can't even trade unless we recieve a qualitly outfielder in return. And that makes no sence at all.
Funny, those are right about the dollar numbers I had in mind, between $ 14 and maybe $ 16 million / year for four years.......depending upon performance over balance of season. IF he heats up, hits .290-.310 with total of perhaps 10-15 homers and 50 steals and GG caliber defense he's worth that in today's market.
Merely continuing present performance nets him either 4 yrs/ $ 40 - 44 million, or more likely a one-year $ 13-15 million " pillow" contract for , essentially , a do-over.
It really depends upon whether the drop in doubles / homers power is from lingering shoulder weakness or as theorized, a difference in swing / pull plate approach. Ellsbury model 2007-2010 is worth $ 15 mil / year tops, but a version approximating even 80 % of 2011 model projects at $ 18 to even $ 20 / yr. Boras factor worries me but would LOVE the pillow one year deal possibility.
Bradley looks okay but has yet to PROVE anything. An outield of Bradley in rf, Ells in cf would demand a true r/h power bat in left ( Giancarlo Stanton ?) plus more power from first and third.