In response to tomnev's comment:
In response to Beantowne's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
We don't send the posting fee, unless we win the bidding.
My guess is he gets at least $100M/7.
I think you're about 40M short....I think the minimum starts at 18 and could go as high as 22 per...remember if 12 teams post he negotiates with all of them...He has all of the leverage.
I think you are right on the 18MM to 22MM per, but I think teams will be talking 5 years with him not 7....so the 100MM might be the right Ballpark...No Japanese starter has had a successful 5 year period....though we will see if Darvish holds up. Nomo had a long career but after his 3-4 years with the Dodgers he was a back of the rotation guy....and you cant pay 20MM per for that......Darvish got 6/56 with the posting fee making the Average Annual about 18MM per....and I think he was more highly rated than Tanaka. Thye may give him 7 years but at a less AAV.
I would agree that he's not in the same class as Darvish. However given the new posting system Tanaka is by all intents a free agent and able to negotiate with every club that post. Which gives him and his agent all of the leverage. Darvish had to negotiate exclusively with the Rangers and sign a deal or go back to Japan and his club then would have to forfeit the posting fee. So with more than four or five teams reported to have serious interest, someone (Cub's?)is going to make him an offer that he can't refuse. Time will tell but I don't think it's a foregone conclusion that the Yankees will be the team that signs him, but if there's one team known for adding a year or two to sweeten the deal and a couple million to the AAV it's the Yanks