Re: Yanks lineup now better than Sox
posted at 12/9/2013 12:27 AM EST
What's amazing to me is that the Yanks back-up 3 OF'er will be getting paid over $50M, although about $35M will be paid by the Angels and Cubs.
Assuming an OF or Ellsbury, Beltran and Gardner, the back-up would be:
(Note: one will be the DH if it's not Beltran.)
They should have a much better offense in 2014, but Tex was in a steady decline before the injuries hit. I'm not sure counting on a lot from him is realistic.
2007: .963 OPS
2008: .962 OPS
2009: .948 OPS
2010: .846 OPS
2011: .835 OPS
2012: .807 OPS
2013: .609 OPS in just 63 PAs.
I do not think it is unrealistic to project a sub .800 OPS in 2014 for Tex. That's not good for a MLB 1Bman.
Jeter is going to be 40 and Brendan Ryan is not going to light up the offense anymore than Nunez or Nix.
McCann should be a huge lift over the 2013 catcher Offensive output.
Ellsbury should be a huge plus as well.
Beltran as well.
Who is going to play 2B? K Johnson/Trade for Phillips?
3B? if Johnson plays 2B, Ryan?
No Grandy. No Cano.
I'd project a very big gain in runs scored for the Yanks in 2014, but their pitching has not improved and could be worse with no MO and others.
If Beltran DHs and they play Gardner in LF, Ellsbury in CF and Suzuki in RF they'll have a nice defensive OF, but keeping Wells and Soriano on the bench could breed some clubhouse issues.
I think people might be surprised how little the Sox offense decline after losing Ellsbury, Drew and Salty.
1) Bogey could be a step up on offense at SS.
2) It's hard to imagine a worse offense from our 3B position than we got in 2013.
3) Napoli & Pedey have had much better seasons in the recent past than 2013.
4) If Victorino stays healthy, he could improve.
5) Nava had a big year, but if he can play exclusively in LF only vs RH's starters, and Gomes returns to his career norms vs LHPs, we should see an even better bottom line from our LF position than we saw in 2013.
Ellsbury to JBJ could be a huge offensive loss, but remember that Ellsbury had the team's 9th best OPS in 2013 out of all players with 230+ PAs.
Salty to AJ P and a healthier Ross could be close to a wash, but I'd project a slight loss on offense there.
Papi may decline with age, but I will not project a significant decline just yet.
Assuming good health, I only see the CF and Catcher positions as probable significant declines offensively, but a healthy Ross could minimize that. A pick-up of a CF'er who hits LHPs well, could also minimize the OPS decline in CF as well.