1. You have chosen to ignore posts from titletownfan. Show titletownfan's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    Agreed, but I feel the Sox will make it further in the Playoffs than the Chokes.
     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from lopi1122. Show lopi1122's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    redsox
    rays
    jays
    orioles
    yanks
     
  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from JimfromFlorida. Show JimfromFlorida's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    Red Sox 93 wins
    Rays 88 wins
    Yankees 85 wins relief pitching will hurt them
    Jays
    Orioles

    No wild card from ALE
     
  4. You have chosen to ignore posts from hill55. Show hill55's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    In three short years, the AL East has gone from the league's weakest division to an incredibly loaded division.

    On paper, the Tampa Bay Rays should be the favorites with the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees close behind.

    I see the Baltimore Orioles as the darkhorse.

    Tampa Bay experienced an unlikely drop in team ERA from 5.53 in 2007 to 3.82 in 2008. If Baltimore can miraculously experience a similar drop from their 2008 team ERA of 5.13, the Orioles could be competitive.

    Brian Roberts, Aubrey Huff, Melvin Mora and Luke Scott return for Orioles, who have an impressive corps of young hitters and defenders in Nick Markakis, Matt Wieters, Adam Jones and, as of today, Felix Pie.
     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from joyceand. Show joyceand's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    As it stands now,
    1. Yankees
    2. Rays
    3. Red Sox
    4. Jays
    5. Orioles

    But a lot can happen between now and april & between April & Sept.
     
  6. You have chosen to ignore posts from Dabro. Show Dabro's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    Someone has to dethrone Tampa. Tampa is good and they got better this off season. I dont see them as a flash in the pan:
    1) Rays
    2) Sox
    3) Yanks
     
  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from fizsh. Show fizsh's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    Red Sox 91-71
    Rays 91-71
    Yankees 91-71
    Blue Jays 80-82
    Orioles 73-89
     
  8. You have chosen to ignore posts from rameakap. Show rameakap's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    All the Sox need is health and they should win the division. 2007 seasons from Beckett, Lowell, Papi, the same 08 seasons from everyone else and hitting on at least 2 of the 4 FA's (Penny, Smoltz, Saito, Baldelli) and we're golden.

    CC/Burnett/Swisher and Teixeira had #'s barely better than Mussina/Pettitte/Abreu and Giambi. The Yanks pen should be problematic. Posada and Matsui are just as big injury concerns as Lowell and Ortiz.

    It will be a grinding bloodbath of a division and wild card race (whoever suggested the wild card will not come from the AL East has got to be joking).

    Going to be fun, tense and a long, long summer. Sox have the best chance to add players by the deadline as well. Better farm than NY and more cash than the Rays.
     
  9. You have chosen to ignore posts from bigdog1. Show bigdog1's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    1. sox

    2. rays

    3. jays

    4. yanks

    5. baltimore

    YANKS TEAM SPEED AND BULLPEN WILL KILL THEM.
     
  10. You have chosen to ignore posts from hill55. Show hill55's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    [Quote]Orioles -
    Also, their IF stinks!
    [/Quote]

    As of today, here is the Baltimore infield with each player's OPS+ from 2008:

    1B Aubrey Huff 135
    2B Brian Roberts 117
    SS Cesar Izturis 67 (but +19 on the plus/minus fielding system)
    3B Melvin Mora 114

    The Baltimore infield has its shortcomings, but it does not "stink."

    By the way, here are the 2008 OPS+ numbers for the Red Sox infield (which included players who finished first and third in the voting for AL MVP):

    1B Kevin Youkilis 143
    2B Dustin Pedroia 122
    SS Julio Lugo 78
    3B Mike Lowell 103

    I'll concede that the Boston infield is better defensively.
     
  11. You have chosen to ignore posts from avenger97. Show avenger97's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    As it stands now,
    1. Yankees
    2. Rays
    3. Red Sox
    4. Jays
    5. Orioles

    But a lot can happen between now and april & between April & Sept.
     
  12. You have chosen to ignore posts from javaukti. Show javaukti's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    The rays are scary good. This new kid Price slots as #2 on the their already exceptional staff. They are the only team in the division where a year older is BETTER. They are hungry. They are fighters (literally and figuratively) and have proved that they won't give up. They have upgraded. Remember their bullpen? One great arm after another.

    Sox and Skanks fight it out for the wildcard
     
  13. You have chosen to ignore posts from rameakap. Show rameakap's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    Upton is only out 1 week

    http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3834557
     
  14. You have chosen to ignore posts from COSTANZA. Show COSTANZA's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    *bump*
     
  15. You have chosen to ignore posts from hill55. Show hill55's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    [Quote]Baltimore. Mora is on the downside of his career. Roberts is always a threat plus in a contract year. Luke Scott? Someone please tell me what he has done ever. Cesar Izturis... For some reason I don't feel threatened by him.[/Quote]

    Melvin Mora may be on the downside of his career, but in 2008 his downside was not as down as the downside of fellow thirdbaseman Mike Lowell's career. Here are their 2008 numbers:

    2008 Lowell 58 R, 17 HR, 73 RBI, .274 BA, .338 OBP, .799 OPS, 103 OPS+
    2008 Mora 77 R, 23 HR, 104 RBI, .285 BA. .342 OBP, .825 OPS, 114 OPS+

    Luke Scott has a career OBP of .353, an OPS of .850 and an OPS+ of 119. As a point of reference, Kevin Youkilis, who is less than one year younger, has a career OBP of .385, OPS of .857 and OPS+ of 119.

    The slick-fielding Cesar Izturis (+19 in the 2008 plus/minus system) may carry a light bat, but he'll still give Baltimore more production than the Orioles got from the shortstop position in 2008.

    The Baltimore Orioles will go as far as their pitching will carry them ... which probably won't be too far.
     
  16. You have chosen to ignore posts from 4of11. Show 4of11's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    NYY
    Rays
    Jays
    Sox/Balt
     
  17. You have chosen to ignore posts from MarcoIslandFla. Show MarcoIslandFla's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    Upton might be a week or two late but is not gone for the year as Jazon = DeweyBoston=Law2005 like to infer. Gabe Kapler is on TB as an extra outfielder.
     
  18. You have chosen to ignore posts from hooky. Show hooky's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    1. Yankees
    2. Rays
    3. Jays
    4. Red Sox
    5. Orioles.

    This Red Sox fan since Yaz' rookie year believes the Sox have given up on '09, and are planning on '10. Pathetic offseason moves, with gaping offensive holes.

    WAIT TIL NEXT YEAR!
     
  19. You have chosen to ignore posts from CTSoxGirl94. Show CTSoxGirl94's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    Fizsh's suggestion was that there would be a three way tie in the AL East...what's the tiebreaker? Has that ever happened before? Do they have a 3 way playoff? Do they go according to certain records? What if the wild card does or doesn't come from the East? How does that change the situation? Very interesting...of course highly unlikely, but interesting.

     
  20. You have chosen to ignore posts from massillon8. Show massillon8's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    Yankees
    Rays
    Sox
    Jays
    Balt

    Red Sox have way too many "if he stays healthy". Pitching depth is only depth if pitchers stay healthy, not a good sign, signing three pitchers coming off of major injuries. Those risks are fine if you don't have a Beckett in the rotation, guy can't stay healthy. No really sold on any of the three teams at this point but Yankees with the addition of Pettite can be dominant 1-5.
     
  21. You have chosen to ignore posts from soups. Show soups's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    IMO for the Sox to take first or second spots, they will have to squeeze every possible drop out of their pitching and defense. They've made their bed, now they gotta lie in it. But if their pitching and defense do hold up, I'd put them in the top spot. If it doesn't, I'd go with the third spot.

    1. Sox
    2. Yanks
    3. Rays

    or

    1. Yanks
    2. Rays
    3. Sox

    Here's hoping Lowell and Papi are healthy enough to produce.
     
  22. You have chosen to ignore posts from BosoxJoe5. Show BosoxJoe5's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    I think the Rays pitching is some where between where it was in 2007 and 2008. I think their pitching takes a step back. The Yankees have the worst bullpen, bench, outfield, and back of the rotation of the three. The are a team with a lot of hype and really only signed three players.

     
  23. You have chosen to ignore posts from fizsh. Show fizsh's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    [Quote]
    Fizsh's suggestion was that there would be a three way tie in the AL East...what's the tiebreaker? Has that ever happened before? Do they have a 3 way playoff? Do they go according to certain records? What if the wild card does or doesn't come from the East? How does that change the situation? Very interesting...of course highly unlikely, but interesting.
    [/Quote]

    The tie-breaker will be a playoff, as has always been. New this year, however, is that there will not be a coin flip to determine who gets the home field, but it will be based on head-to-head. That is fine for a two-way tie, but if it is a three way tie, I am not sure how the seeding would go. In the past, in the event of a 3 way tie, two teams would play, and then the winner would get a home game vs the third team. So, would they let the team with the best head-to-head only have to play one game, but a road game, or would they make them play 2 games, but both at home? Would they give them a choice? That, I do not know.

     
  24. You have chosen to ignore posts from REBEL. Show REBEL's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    1)REDOX
    2) RAYS
    3) BLUEJAYS
    4) YANKMEES(12 GAMES OUT!!)
    5)ORIOLE

     
  25. You have chosen to ignore posts from billy13. Show billy13's posts

    What is your 2009 AL East Projection?

    The yankees as currently constituted, are a third place team to the sox and rays. NO Cf, and no catcher. No depth in the pitching department. They will need to improve if they want to compete for the division.
    Rays have improved. Adding another bullpen arm and two outfielders will help. They have a studly starting staff. If this team gets injured in their rotation, they will be out of it quick.

    Red sox have the best team they have ever fielded, imo. They are the favorites.

     

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