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  • Posted 09/30/2014 11:00:25 EDT

    By my numbers New England at #16 is a 10.4 point home underdog.  Cincy is #1 in the NFL, about one victory ahead of Seattle on my power ratings.  Cincy benefits considerably in this game from their by more »

  • Posted 09/30/2014 04:59:20 EDT

    I looked early and saw the Pats as overdogs at 2 points. At that spot, the Bengals were my Game of the Week. I'm sticking to the Pats giving 2 points because that recommendation was valid at the time more »

  • Posted 09/30/2014 04:40:36 EDT

    I looked early and saw the Pats at +2 points.  At that spot, the Bengals were my Game of the Week.  Since then the line has shifted dramatically to -1 points.  At this point, going against the Jets is more »

  • Posted 09/30/2014 03:57:49 EDT

    I almost lowered their power rating for this, but they're a bit below zero already. 

    more »

  • Posted 09/30/2014 12:58:35 EDT

    Headline: The University of Beating Vegas like a Drum outdid itself this week. The Giants, San Diego, Dallas and Kansas City all came through last week in spades. My lone loser, San Francisco, was onl more »

  • Posted 09/29/2014 03:45:35 EDT

    Way too many factors moving around in this game. Kansas City's top receiver last week, Joe McKnight (yep, the Jets once had Joe McKnight and no he wasn't that good) injured himself on Wednesday and wi more »

  • Posted 09/29/2014 03:24:53 EDT

    Stork has done everything demanded of him so far, except for his getting injured in camp.  He's a rocket scientist, or at least he has his bachelor of science degree in astronautics and aeronautics.  more »

  • Posted 09/28/2014 11:59:57 EDT

    In response to rkarp's comment:

    need anymore be said?

    Beats me.  I'm only 7-3 on all of my year's picks through the Dallas game, and 3-1 on Games of the Week through week 4.  Congratulations. 

    more »

  • Posted 09/27/2014 09:06:34 EDT

    The other possibility is a rabid fan making up the sexual assault accusation out of whole cloth, almost always naming some opponent's most valuable player.

    more »

  • Posted 09/27/2014 07:28:01 EDT

    Numbers of players have come back from ACL and MCL injuries including Tom Brady, Revis Island and Wes Welker.  Revis was a bit slow and off his first year back.  In general, rebuilt players haven't hi more »

  • Forum Post: Casey Walker

    Posted 09/27/2014 02:27:03 EDT

    Casey Walker, DT: +5.0 Breakdown: The one thing you want in an interior lineman is the ability to disrupt in all facets of the game. Walker split his beastly +5.0 grade between pass-rushing, run defen more »

  • Forum Post: Revis: "Average"

    Posted 09/27/2014 02:04:13 EDT

    New England has allowed three touchdowns in the last three games, and that with a terrible NFL offense that kept giving up good field position.  If the young or new offensive players get better in tim more »

  • Posted 09/26/2014 09:25:37 EDT

    In response to coolade2's comment: SD impressed last week and you have them #2 vs your #32 jax. Seems like a sure thing but what does bortles do to the equation...? Bortles was sitting because he's a more »

  • Posted 09/26/2014 04:19:30 EDT

    In response to Herectus' comment: Ny at Was I, I think the chance Washington covers or pushs at about 75 percent.SD has to cover at around 80 percent unless something really goes wrong.Dallas looks li more »

  • Posted 09/25/2014 10:01:11 EDT

    Tis a fine fall afternoon at the University of Beating Vegas like a Drum (UBVD).  The windows are open, a stray bee flies in and flies out, and across the parking lot drifts the sound of the UBVD perc more »

  • Posted 09/25/2014 12:22:34 EDT

    My numbers have KC by 3.9 points. New England started out as a 3.5 point favorite.  Now they look like about a two point favorite on The last two Patriots games have b more »

  • Posted 09/25/2014 10:41:15 EDT

    In response to stillgridlocked's comment: This offensive line is only giving Brady 2.34 seconds to throw a pass according to ProFootbalFocus, 6th worst in the league.   Fumble.  That's the amount of t more »

  • Posted 09/24/2014 03:59:15 EDT

    I almost always grade higher than Tex and I would rarely give an F- grade.  However, I wish I could grade individuals on expectations.  The Patriots are 27th in the NFL in offensive passing yardage an more »

  • Posted 09/24/2014 08:42:10 EDT

    Right now the Patriots are playing like a 9.5 victory team.  I accept the argument that BB teams start off slow and build momentum through December, but how much are they going to build by next Monday more »

  • Posted 09/23/2014 02:35:22 EDT

    Practice.  The offense is full of stupid errors.  Somewhere I read that 90 yards of offense was called back because of offensive holding?  Tom has to stop fumbling, which means Wendell had better get more »

  • Posted 09/23/2014 12:59:22 EDT

    Headline: The NFL is back to normal for me. I picked Detroit to win by 7.5 points, Vegas picked them to win by 1.5 points and they comfortably won by 12. Score it! Second Headline: Seven points? Oh co more »

  • Posted 09/22/2014 11:02:39 EDT

    At this point my numbers have put Cincinnati atop the NFL for the past two weeks.  I now have San Diego in second place in the NFL.  I have Denver in fourth place.  I have Kansas City in seventh place more »

  • Posted 09/21/2014 10:38:04 EDT

    Headline: The NFL is back to normal for me. I picked Detroit to win by 7.5 points, Vegas picked them to win by 1.5 points and they won by 12. Score it! These power ratings are independent of any new i more »

  • Posted 09/21/2014 06:41:39 EDT

    The Raiders can't run.  That said, stopping the Raiders on second and 1 was pretty good.  The Patriots played contain on Oakland's Carr and also they applied a reasonable amount of pressure.  Chandler more »

  • Posted 09/21/2014 05:12:14 EDT

    Also, Gronk who is touted as a "match up nightmare" has been anything but that. Gronk wasn't bad on that touchdown.  He was wide open because Oakland put a linebacker on him.  The linebacker got way b more »