A new poll of likely voters in Boston found that state Representative Martin J. Walsh has opened a 7-point lead over City Councilor John R. Connolly in the Boston mayor’s race.
While the survey jibes with other recent polls in depicting Walsh with the momentum, none that has become public has given the Dorchester Democrat the lead, let alone a 47 percent to 40 percent advantage. The poll carries a 5.3 percent error margin for the full sample, and one of 5.9 percent among likely voters.
The UMass-Amherst survey, conducted Oct. 26—Oct. 29 among 600 likely voters, shows that the backing Walsh received from Charlotte Golar Richie, who finished third in the September preliminary, has aided Walsh. Richie voters are breaking for him by a 17-point margin, and Walsh is leading among female voters, 49 percent to 35 percent. Connolly and Walsh are even among male voters, according to the poll.
Asked which candidate would do a better job of representing different groups, Walsh had the edge for African-Americans, Latinos, the poor, middle class, and unions. Connolly was viewed as better for the wealthy and business owners. A clear class division was evident in the poll, with voters earning over $100,000 preferring Connolly, and those making less than that supporting Walsh.
When asked which candidate they trusted to handle education, voters gave the nod to Connolly, but broke for Walsh on crime, mass transit, affordable housing, and the economy.