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Monday, November 6, 2006

One more day

We at Brainiac have resisted taking part in tracking the daily charges and stumbles of the political horse race this year. Plenty of blogs do it, usually with a partisan slant.

But at one point I did mention Votemaster, where an American computer science professor living in the Netherlands compiles all the available polls, weights them somehow according to methodology and sample size, and attempts to predict the election outcome. (He did the same thing, anonymously but to a lot of press attention, in 2004.)

Just thought I would check in with him with one day more. He has the Senate at 50-49-1, in favor of the Democrats, and has a whopping Democrat advantage in the House of 239-196! It's also worth noting (bottom of the Votemaster home page) that he lists the predictions of several other vote gurus. Every one has the Democrats taking the House. Three have the Democrats gaining a tiny edge in the Senate, with two predicting a tie ballgame. (By the way, tie goes to the GOP, because of Cheney. They would still be the majority party.)

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