New Hampshire Primary day, Jan. 8

After three years of about 1,000 campaign events, a few million phone calls, and thousands of volunteers, the voters in New Hampshire get to decide.

Weather: High of 57 degrees, partly cloudy

Turnout model: The New Hampshire Secretary of State estimates 500,000 voters today, blowing away the previous record in 1992 of just under 400,000. Of those voters, 260,000 are expected to vote in the Democratic Primary, and 240,000 in the Republican Primary, the Secretary of State says. (For what it is worth, I believe turnout will be even higher with more Democratic voters.)

What to watch for:

1. How Mitt Romney performs in his base of the hard core Republican towns on the "golden triangle" from, but not including, Nashua to Manchester to Salem.

2. If Manchester trends to Obama it is all over for Clinton

3. How well Edwards plays in the Seacoast and Upper Valley.

4. As always, where do independent voters go?