Obama, Brown predict G-20 deal on economy
Paris, Berlin fear a soft solution
LONDON - Doggedly optimistic in the face of doubts, President Obama and British Prime Minister Gordon Brown predicted today's emergency G-20 economic summit would produce a significant global deal to tackle the deepening worldwide recession.
Others weren't so sure. France warned yesterday that neither it nor Germany would agree to "false compromises" that soft-pedal a need for tougher financial regulation to curb abuses that contributed to the spreading chaos. And outside the carefully scripted meetings, protesters smashed bank windows and pelted police with eggs and fruit.
Thousands surged into London's financial district, blockading the Bank of England and breaking into a branch of the
"I am absolutely confident that this meeting will reflect enormous consensus about the need to work in concert to deal with these problems," said Obama, who is under pressure to make a good showing in his first major international appearance.
With economic chaos spreading, Brown, the host of the summit, predicted agreement on a coordinated strategy, including a possible $100 billion fund to finance global trade, tighter financial rules, and action to support economic growth and job creation.
G-20 leaders are also in general agreement on a plan to double the money available to the International Monetary Fund, to about $500 billion, to help emerging countries.
Consensus on further measures is by no means clear.
Brown initially trumpeted the gathering as "a new Bretton Woods - a new financial architecture for the years ahead." But the meeting so far bears little similarity to the 1944 New Hampshire conference where the eventual winners of World War II gathered to set postwar global monetary and financial order.
Washington has eased off on its push for other governments to pump more money into economic stimulus programs after heavy opposition from European countries, which contend their bigger social safety nets make more spending unnecessary.
Germany and France have instead campaigned for tougher rules to restrain financial market excesses.
That disagreement has lowered expectations for the London summit and weakened confidence in the world's ability to quickly pull out of the downturn.
Global trade is plummeting, protectionism is beginning to make inroads, and unemployment is rising.
French leader Nicolas Sarkozy, who had earlier implied he might walk out if key demands on tighter regulation were not met, presented a more conciliatory stance at a joint London news conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, saying he had "confidence in Obama."
He still warned, however, that France and Germany would reject "false compromises" and considered concrete steps on tax havens, hedge funds, and ratings agencies crucial.
Paris and Berlin want definitive agreements on a crackdown on tax havens and action on other regulatory issues, rather than simple commitments to reform. The summit is also expected to consider lightly regulated hedge funds and how to clear bank balance sheets of shaky securities.
Sarkozy said that "without new regulation there will be no confidence. it's a major non-negotiable objective."a
Merkel said both she and Sarkozy had come to London "in a very constructive mood." But she said, "We do not want results that have no impact in practice."
Even free trade remains the subject of potentially bitter dispute.
In their meeting in November, the G-20 members vowed to avoid protectionism that could stifle trade. But since then, 17 have acted to pass subsidies to protect their own industries or limit imports, according to the World Bank.
Yesterday, leaders met in a series of bilateral meetings behind closed doors to try to close the gap on key issues. They assembled for a formal dinner yesterday evening. .