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Polls show unsettled GOP race in Florida

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor January 23, 2008 06:22 PM

Three new polls out today show a fluid race in Florida in advance of Tuesday's Republican primary -- and show Rudy Giuliani, who has staked his campaign on the Sunshine State, trailing in all of them.

The St. Petersburg Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald survey gives John McCain a 25 percent to 23 percent edge over Mitt Romney, with Giuliani at 15 percent and Mike Huckabee at 13 percent. The Times, in the headline on its online report, asks, "Bye-bye Rudy?"

The poll was conducted Sunday through Tuesday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

McCain also leads in a Strategic Vision survey, with Giuliani in second ahead of Romney. Romney leads and Giuliani is in second ahead of McCain in an Insider Advantage survey.

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2 comments so far...

  1. Ron Paul is the only serious candidate. His policies on economics, foreign affairs, and constitutional rights is 100%. He is the only one that can bring real change to washington.

    Posted by steve January 23, 08 07:03 PM

  1. Why emphasize the St. Petersburg Times poll which is an outlier. Here are the other polls, all showing a tight race, all coming out either yesterday or today, all less politically oriented than the liberal Times:

    Insider Advantage
    Romney 24 (+4 vs. 01/16 poll)
    Giuliani 19 (-2)
    McCain 18 (-2)
    Huckabee 12 (-1)
    Paul 7 (+1)

    Strategic Vision
    McCain 25 (-2 vs. 01/13 poll)
    Giuliani 22 (+4)
    Romney 20 (+3)
    Huckabee 18 (-2)
    Paul 5 (nc)

    Rasmussen 01/20 - 01/20

    McCain 20
    Romney 25
    Giuliani 19
    Huckabee 13
    Paul 5

    SurveyUSA 01/20 - 01/20

    McCain 25
    Romney 19
    Giuliani 20
    Huckabee 14
    Paul 7

    Notice how ALL these polls, coming out within a day of one another, are in virtual agreement--that the race is a close one. Only the Herald comes up with something different and sensational--a newspaper notoriously liberal and anti-Rudy.

    Posted by William Tripp January 24, 08 01:12 AM
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About political intelligence Field reports from Boston Globe reporters and editors covering the 2008 presidential campaign and the national maneuvering of Bay State politicians.

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