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McCain camp sees Clinton supporters headed their way

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor May 7, 2008 05:07 PM

Hillary Clinton's core supporters appear to be hardening in their disdain for Barack Obama as he gets closer to the Democratic nomination.

Fewer than half of Clinton voters in both Indiana and North Carolina said they would vote for Obama in November, according to exit polls. Instead, most said they would vote for presumptive Republican John McCain -- or just stay home. Even though voters say that Clinton has run the more negative campaign, Obama backers are significantly more supportive of Clinton if she were to be the nominee.

Analysts say that polls in the heat of the primary campaign don't really show what will happen in November, and Obama's campaign insists that Clinton supporters will return to the fold.

Still, McCain's campaign is jumping on the numbers to argue that it will help him in a fall race against Obama. Campaign manager Rick Davis issued a lengthy, figure-filled memo today that says as many as one in five Democrats -- the vast majority of them Clinton supporters -- will defect and support McCain.

"If and when Senator Obama becomes the official nominee, Democratic Primary voters may not form a tight coalition immediately," the memo says. "Data to date suggest Democratic Primary voters will not blindly support Senator Obama."

27 comments so far...
  1. LOL you guys don't get it. McCain will never be elected. Once the media spot light turns on him he is going to be toast. All the swift boating, hate mongering, fear driven politics is not going to change it, the American people are not longer listening. Proof is in the results of last nights contests (bitter, Rev. Wright, Elitist, Gas tax holiday pander).

    Next stop the Republican party and McCain.

    Posted by Deward Bowles May 7, 08 05:29 PM
  1. Mccain will win hands down if Obama is the Democratic nominee don't anyone get it it's a 200 years old mystery.Joh Mccain should start saying to himself that famous line"sticks and stones will break my bones but names will never hurt me".The Hilliary voters will make a 180 degree turn towards Mccain highway and Obama with his supporters will fall nose down of the cliff.

    Posted by skmj May 7, 08 05:58 PM
  1. McCain is a 200 year old mystery? Sounds about right to me.

    Posted by Someone May 7, 08 06:36 PM
  1. It confounds me how spending a couple of years as a POW in Vietnam automatically makes someone a better candidate for POTUS. McCain will get a substantial portion of the redneck votes for sure. But in November, good sense will ultimately prevail.

    Posted by SD May 8, 08 12:17 AM
  1. I voted for Clinton in the primary and I believe Rush may have a point. I am not voteing for a freshman congressman to run my country. Not to mention he is to far to the left for me and my husband. For all Clinton's negatives you know what you're getting. I don't have a clue about Obama and in the past he has shown poor judgement when it comes to people. The other alternative is that he uses people to get what he wants. Yes he speaks eloquently but, he has no solutions for the energy crisis and independence on foreign oil. Especially when we have the capabilities to drill in our own country until technology and research frees us from foreign oil dependency. The scenerio I see with pulling out of Iraq to soon is Iran and Al-queda waltzing in Iraq, Killing many people who helped the U.S.A. military,
    intimidating the other oil producing countries, closing shipping lanes, paralyzing America so, we don't have gas to redeploy troops and minimum wage employees can't afford to get to work.

    Posted by Sandra Thornton May 8, 08 01:06 AM
  1. I voted for Clinton in Ohio's primary too. I cried last night, wiped my tears, then subscribed to John McCain's e-mail list and began interacting with his supporters online. I'm committing myself to his campaign. I'd love a McCain/Lieberman ticket. I'd support a McCain/Romney or McCain/Huckabee ticket, though - whatever McCain's camp determines is the strongest for the fall is fine with me.

    I have a lot of friends who did the same thing I did: turned the switch full-force to McCain. Obama's camp needs to wake up and see a good chunk of Clinton's supporters aren't going to back him in the GE no matter what. Feelings have been cemented at this point and are irreversible.

    Posted by Jen May 8, 08 02:34 AM
  1. I'm an independant and a Clinton Supporter. If it's Obama and Mccain in November, I plan on supporting Mccain.

    Posted by Andy from Andover May 8, 08 05:56 AM
  1. Sandra Thornton said:

    I don't have a clue about Obama and in the past he has shown poor judgement when it comes to people. The other alternative is that he uses people to get what he wants.

    Sandra, look, I'm sorry if this offends you, but your comments are a prime example of one of the biggest problems with the voting public in this country. I am appalled, stunned, and disheartened whenever I come across such staggering ignorance.

    You state that you don't have a clue about Obama. I believe you. But what is your opinion based on, then? Why not GET a clue, THEN work your way toward a conclusion? The information is out there. If you're uninformed, that's your folly. Own it.

    You state that Obama has shown poor judgment when it comes to people, or else he uses people to get what he wants. And you prefer McCain?? Please consider getting your head checked! He blatantly and shamelessly flip-flopped from calling Jerry Falwell, Pat Robertson, and other rabid religious haters like John Hagee "agents of intolerance" 4 years ago to whoring himself for them in order to become the president this time around!

    By contrast, Obama has NOT merely done the politically expedient thing. He refused to throw Wright to the wolves, until Wright clearly, unequivocally, and directly acted against him.

    Please consider taking 6.5 minutes out of your day to watch this essay on Rev. Wright. Bonus points if you can listen to the whole thing with an open mind and only begin formulating retorts afterwards.

    Posted by perspicio May 8, 08 08:29 AM
  1. What I don't get - that the Republicans DO get - is why the DNC feels they don't need the middle class vote to win the general election? They will never be able to replace the loss of middle class votes with college students' votes. Obama thinks it's OK to disrespect his mother and grandmother - who sacrificed for him to be able to have all of these privileges - what does he think the female vote in the US thinks of that? Why do women like Hillary? Because she doesn't insult the people who sacrificed so that she could be where she is today - Obama is simply ungrateful and his airs of entitlement are offensive. The DNC made a fatal mistake when they ditched the middle class vote in favor of a FAD.

    Posted by Gloria Mills May 8, 08 11:54 AM
  1. What I don't get - that the Republicans DO get - is why the DNC feels they don't need the middle class vote to win the general election? They will never be able to replace the loss of middle class votes with college students' votes. Obama thinks it's OK to disrespect his mother and grandmother - who sacrificed for him to be able to have all of these privileges - what does he think the female vote in the US thinks of that? Why do women like Hillary? Because she doesn't insult the people who sacrificed so that she could be where she is today - Obama is simply ungrateful and his airs of entitlement are offensive. The DNC made a fatal mistake when they ditched the middle class vote in favor of a FAD.

    Posted by Gloria Mills May 8, 08 11:54 AM
  1. Gloria Mills wrote:

    Obama thinks it's OK to disrespect his mother and grandmother - who sacrificed for him to be able to have all of these privileges - what does he think the female vote in the US thinks of that? .... Obama is simply ungrateful and his airs of entitlement are offensive.

    Gloria, please explain, what are you talking about? I don't know anything about Obama disrespecting his mother and grandmother. I haven't seen anything about him that registers with me as ungratefulness or airs of entitlement. In fact, I get the opposite impression. Can you post some links or substantiate your views in some way? Without that, you come across as negative and divisive without justification. Most reasonable people find that disrespectful and offensive.

    Posted by perspicio May 8, 08 12:22 PM
  1. I want to wish Hilliary Clinton a Happy Mothers Day and may you be President one day.

    Posted by skmj May 8, 08 02:04 PM
  1. I believe most Americans know what issues we face as a nation as we try to decide which candidate(s) will best resolve them. We see in John McCain’s life, past and present a devotion to serve his country. Anyone who knows Senator McCain will tell you that he has passion for what he believes in and a constant drive to serve his country to the best of his abilities with sincerity, truthfulness, and dedication.

    I remember seeing John on the Forrestall the morning of the flight deck fire, he was really beat up, but after some medical treatment he was transferred to the Enterprise and joined up with an attack squadron and that same day launched off in a A6A attack aircraft to provide close ground air support for our troops in Viet Nam. That same day his aircraft was shot down and he was taken prisoner.

    Most Americans are aware of the courageous service John provided as a naval aviator and POW . But few can fully appreciate how bad the egregious hospitality of the Hanoi Hilton really was .His main concerns were for other POWs’ life threatening conditions and how he could help them is spite of the injuries he had received prior to and during his confinement.
    Our convictions about John's character were born in the crucible of adversity. We have witnessed his courage, integrity, character and intellect. We know and greatly respect his sense of honor and his tenacity in the face of grave danger and prolonged hardship(s). These qualities, combined with his life experiences, make John ready for the enormous challenges facing the leader of our country. No one -- no one – has a greater knowledge of what war is really like or more qualified to be president, to lead our country and protect our nation. Some pretend to know him or deride his physical short comings but do nor know his physical strengths, his love of country and his commitment to serve it. He has been severely tested, and we have witnessed him under pressure. We trust his judgment and his ability to surround himself with our countries best advisors to lead our country.
    .We could do a whole lot worse than vote for John Mc Cain as our next president of the United States for every man, woman and child in our country regardless of their political affiliation. In John’s administration there are no Democrats or Republicans only Americans.

    God Speed John Mc Cain

    Posted by John's Son May 8, 08 03:33 PM
  1. My vote is for the candidate that loves his country and will bring with him those who share his enthusiasm and honesty that this country hasn't experienced in a long time and are not Republicans or Democrats, just dedicated Americans please.

    Posted by John's Son May 8, 08 03:46 PM
  1. I voted for Hillary in my home state of Illinois primary. If she is not the nominee I will vote for McCain in November. I want nothing to do with Barack Obama, his campaign or his nasty supporters.

    I don't know a single Hillary supporter that will vote for Obama. Not a one. I don't think the Obama camp fully understands the seriousness of this issue. He is going to lose and they can thank themselves for that. I am willing to bet about 40% of Hillary voters will either not vote in November or they will vote McCain. Obama is in for a rude awakening.

    Posted by Angela May 8, 08 07:08 PM
  1. We're all in for a rude awakening if McCain makes it.

    Posted by perspicio May 8, 08 09:31 PM
  1. I am a rabid Democrat, and have been in lock step with the party for three decades, but I will not vote for Barack Obama regardless of party. Hillary Clinton is a far superior candidate. I will not vote for a freshman senator who was in office for one year prior to deciding that he would be king. At least I know what I'm getting into with McCain. With Obama it's all lovely rhetoric and alot of unknown territory. If I can't pull the lever for McCain in the fall, I will stay home.

    Posted by Sandi May 9, 08 08:12 AM
  1. I am so sick of hearing about "the math" from Obama supporters that are happy with the suppression of votes from Florida and Michigan. After what happened in 2000, I would NEVER vote for a candidate that happily receives the benefit of the suppression of votes. And of course there is the constant race-baiting from his supporters, for example the media is once again making Hillary out to be a racist just for having the temerity to state facts about voting demographics. I am quickly reaching the point where McCain is a valid option..

    Posted by chesserct May 9, 08 09:33 AM
  1. With McCain, you will get an expansion of the war and a collapse of the economy.

    McCain actively seeks the support of HATE-mongering CHRISTIANS! How can you not see that that is raw hypocrisy?

    HOW?

    Posted by perspicio May 9, 08 02:11 PM
  1. As a Hllary supporter who is college educated and making over $50,000 a year, I am appalled that people can't understand why Obama should NOT be president. The basic truth is he doesn't have the experience or the political networking clout that a president needs during the most turbulent times in our U.S. history. We can NOT afford to elect a president who is using the presidency as an on the job training experience. I am not fond of McCain, even though I am from AZ, but I will definitely consider him over Obama.

    Posted by Linda May 9, 08 02:40 PM
  1. LET'S TALK ABOUT EXPERIENCE

    The following is a repost of M J SHUMATE's comment (#8) on the "GOP ratchets up against Obama" article:

    To get an idea of whether experience is something to consider, lets take a look back at some of the past presidents in the US history:

    James Buchanan: 29 years
    Gerald Ford: 25 years
    George H.W. Bush: 17 years
    Richard Nixon: 14 years
    Bill Clinton: 12 years
    Ronald Reagan: 8 years
    George W. Bush: 7 years
    Abraham Lincoln: 2 years
    George Washington: 0 years
    Dwight Eisenhower: 0 years

    The former president with the most experience, James Buchanan, who had 29 years of service as a representative, senator, ambassador and Secretary of State, is arguably the worst president in the US history. While Abraham Lincoln with only 2 years experience in the federal government is considered a national icon and, with George Washington, one of the most venerated leaders in our nation's history. Going by this list, it is difficult to say that more experience is better.

    Haven't we learned in the past 7 years that you really don't need experience to become president? I don't think Bush is a disastrous president because he has little experience compared to other previous presidents... he's just awfully stupid, unwilling to accept different viewpoints and ignorant of reality.

    It's more than experience that matters.

    Posted by perspicio May 9, 08 09:11 PM
  1. i have always voted for dems, and voted for clinton in california primary, but after the medias and her own party kept beating on her, I don't want anything to do with the stupid good-for-nothing party. I will vote for mccain in november, and ask other undecided voters to vote for him too.

    Posted by georgia May 10, 08 12:26 AM
  1. I supported Obama last summer when I thought he was a clean, uncorrupted politician. The fact is, we've learned horrifying things about him and I simply can't trust him. Someone who associates with Ayers and communicates with Hamas? And was endorsed by Hamas? No, thank you.

    I voted for Hillary in Ohio's primary, but I've vowed to give McCain my support in 2008 if she isn't the nominee. I'd never vote for such a sketchy person. At least with McCain, we know what we're getting.

    Posted by Jen May 10, 08 12:29 AM
  1. Go ahead and vote for McSame, when the economy is in ruins in 2016 you'll have only yourselves to blame

    Posted by axt113 May 10, 08 01:36 AM
  1. I will vote vote for McSame, when the economy is in ruins in 2016 I won't care, because you young people are the ones who will suffer, not me! Also, when the Supreme Court overturns Roe vs. Wade, it's you young people who will suffer. Ah, revenge is sweet.

    Posted by Jane May 14, 08 02:58 PM
  1. I don't care, I'll still vote for McCain. Obama and his supporters have treated Hillary so badly that the issues don't matter to me anymore. Obama promised us unity, and he gave the Democrats a civil war. Well, good luck Obama, cuz your not getting my vote.

    Posted by Beth May 14, 08 03:02 PM
  1. Obama scares me. We know everything there is to know about Hillary (good & bad), but nothing about him. If Hillary does not get the top slot, I will have to vote for McCain to keep Obama out. Check out eBay Item number 230259774733 to see something funny.

    Posted by monica June 6, 08 08:47 PM
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About political intelligence Field reports from Boston Globe reporters and editors covering the 2008 presidential campaign and the national maneuvering of Bay State politicians.

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