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National poll shows Obama leading McCain

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor May 21, 2008 12:48 PM

As Barack Obama closes in on the Democratic nomination, his prospects for November are looking up, a new poll indicates.

Obama, who was tied with presumptive Republican nominee John McCain last month in the same survey, now leads 48 percent to 40 percent, according to the Reuters/Zogby poll released today.

Obama builds his lead among independents -- 47 percent to 35 percent -- and also has an edge in who voters say would be better for the economy.

Despite losing four of the last six primaries over the last month to Hillary Clinton, Obama also leads McCain among some groups he has been losing to Clinton: Catholics, Jews, union households, and voters making less than $35,000 a year.

"Clearly voters are looking for change. Every problem Obama has had in consolidating his base and reaching to the center, John McCain has the same sort of problem," pollster John Zogby told Reuters.

"It's McCain's lead among voters over the age of 65 that is keeping him within shouting distance of Obama," he said.

The poll was conducted Thursday through Sunday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

48 comments so far...
  1. Obama will soon be indicted, along with Blagojevich, for his role in the Rezko/Auchi/General Mediterannean/Syrian mafia criminal enterprise. Most of the charges will be 18 USC 1346 (mail fraud honest services) charges.

    That's why Hillary is staying in the race: she knows that Obama--a small time hood--is going down soon. Wait til Rezko is convicted.

    In fact, Evelyn Pringle has been laying out the case in unprecedented detail in her wonderful "Curtain Time for Barack Obama." She has been doing it for weeks at opednews.com. Here's a convenient link to the services, below.

    The next installment will give you a good idea of where 18 USC 1346 figures in, as Obama dutifully plays his organized crime role in the legislature, by making sure that Rezko continues to have control over the State boards which hand out the contracts and provide the "pay" for the "play." Obama is quite the scum. The boards are the reason the U.S. Attorney calls his overall investigation, Operation Board Games.

    How do Obama supporters feel--after reading about his criminal activities in excruciating detail in Pringle's articles--about supporting this front-and-center hood?

    http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0805/S00245.htm

    Posted by John Ryskamp May 21, 08 01:32 PM
  1. Even with Terry McAuliffe selling used cars to cut down on the Clinton campaign debt, she should be bowing to the inevitable. This bitter old white guy is voting for Obama.

    Posted by ericmiami May 21, 08 01:33 PM
  1. The old south is still the old south...racism is alive in those remote areas especially ..this will be the reason Obama loses....also many in the south are in the military...many military families will vote a strong commander in chief and Obama is not that guy...McCain is....it's apparent who our next president will be

    Posted by tommy May 21, 08 01:49 PM
  1. This bitter old Republican is voting Obama. I need a change. Politics needs a change. America needs a change. Let's face it: there is a Bush and Clinton fatigue going around the country!

    Posted by DenisR May 21, 08 01:54 PM
  1. John Ryskamp,

    ...And Hillary has already been indicted for campaign fraud. And five of McCain's top advisers have been indicted for campaign fraud. Guess what- the system's hosed and anyone who gets as far as the Senate has crossed some lines. Believe it or don't.

    So are you ready for the Revolution?

    Posted by self sycophant May 21, 08 01:56 PM
  1. McCain cheated on his wife. You wait until that comes out.

    Posted by Derrick May 21, 08 01:56 PM
  1. JR above: Your right wing whisper campaigning and swift boat campaigns don't work anymore. People have learned, are fed up, and are moving on. Next you'll say, "Wait till people find out Obama has two black kids". Go away, John.

    Posted by Bob Brown May 21, 08 01:57 PM
  1. John Ryskamp, you aren't going to get far selling that trash. It will all fall apart under any objective scrutiny. Don't let stop you and your Rove-style attack machine buddies from spreading the same lies over and over. No harm, because the people are sick and tired of that. That's why Hillary is losing support, from using the NeoCon political playbook instead of campaigning like an honest Democrat.

    I say this as registered Republican in Kentucky, an old white guy who is more than a little bitter about what Bush & Co have done to my party. I'm voting for Obama in November.

    Posted by David May 21, 08 02:00 PM
  1. John Ryskamp:
    Clinton is staying in the race because she needs to pay off the millions of dollars she loaned to her campaign. If the issues you raise are so incriminating, why isn't Hillary mentioning it herself? Perhaps because the issues she is linked to are even more questionable. And the ones McCain is linked to are worse yet. Unfortunately, any time you are involved in knowing people, you are going to find yourself caught up with names of people that are up to no good. That is the nature of politics, and we need to be reasonable in our assessment. You can find dirt on any politician out there, and Obama is no different.

    That said, the articles you are sourcing from Evelyn Pringle are particularly interesting given her outward support of Hillary Clinton. Everyone has a hidden agenda, and Evelyn's, in particular, is not hidden at all. She wants to see Hillary win the race, and is happy to dig up whatever dirt she can find.

    Fortunately, I think most Americans are smart enough to see beyond that sort of nonsense. If Obama is truly in trouble, then let us wait to see if that happens. But, let's not try to predict what will happen and comdemn a person before that time has arrived. That would be absolutely silly, especially when we are talking about the ever-changing world of politics.

    Posted by Monty May 21, 08 02:04 PM
  1. I am in the south and no one can speak for me but God. I am ready for change we can believe in !!!

    Obama 08

    Posted by Pat May 21, 08 02:07 PM
  1. There's not much to the Obama/Rezko story, even though Hillary has been doing her best to turn it into a scandal. But it's less shady than her own questionable stock deal that netted her a million, which could easily have been considered insider trading. It's ridiculous to claim Obama will be indicted, since he committed no crime. The Republicans will try to keep the story alive - it's their usual tactic of distraction because they have no substantive issue on which to run - but it will fade in the face of the tragedy of Iraq, the dismal economy, the "war on terror," and other real concerns.

    Posted by Eric May 21, 08 02:09 PM
  1. "Pringle"? That's a potato chip that's not real, right? The manufactured fringe is coming unglued.

    Posted by paulny May 21, 08 02:12 PM
  1. Today (May 21) U.S. Rep. Joe Courtney of Connecticut, whose district voted for Clinton in that state's Feb. 5 primary, joined the Obama team. This kind of thing and media bias has put Obama where he is today. Very unfair to Clinton.

    Posted by Billw May 21, 08 02:13 PM
  1. It's only when you look at the electoral college polls that you see that McCain leads Obama.

    It's only when you look at the electoral college polls that you see Clinton ahead of McCain.

    http://www.electoral-vote.com/

    Posted by Fred C Dobbs May 21, 08 02:20 PM
  1. Good grief, the insane posturing of political whack jobs like the guy claiming Obama is Mafia. He should apply for American Idol, or to become a talking head on Faux Nooze.

    Posted by Joe Barr May 21, 08 02:20 PM
  1. Hillary should denounce the racist votes of Kentucky.
    She is using and associating with those who say they will never
    vote for a black person to get campaign donations.
    The racists are now funding her campaign.

    Posted by desertique May 21, 08 02:23 PM
  1. What do you call 200 million republicans / democrats & oil executives at the bottom of the ocean?

    A GOOD START

    SIGNED

    THE AMERICAN PARTY (BY THE PEOPLE.... FOR THE PEOPLE)

    Posted by JTJONES May 21, 08 02:24 PM
  1. 1. So what is Rodham Clinton going to do wait until Obama is the nominee to drop this so-called bomb and make it look like she has rotten, stinkin, sour grapes. If they got it they should drop it now. Scum? I think not. Everybody and their mothers would have been on that story.
    2. If racism is still alive those people are living under rocks and are afraid to give anybody that doesn't look or think like them a chance. We (black people) took all of the punches and stacked all the bricks to build this country. Caught all types of hell under the American flag, raised your children, live in substandard area, have to send our children to garbage schools, have predators sell us homes under false pretenses, predators after our children, and you have the nerve to still be racist. You all bought and brought us here illegally and are now mad that we exist. The truth is that you know if you give us half a chance that we will out run,out learn, out wit, and run rings around all of you. Level the playing field if you are not SCARED.

    Posted by ShawnJ May 21, 08 02:25 PM
  1. Sorry, Ryskamp, but that dog doesn't hunt. Pringle is drawing some pretty extreme inferences based on some pretty flimsy circumstantial evidence. Do you know everything your colleagues are up to? Do you ever do business with your neighbors? Would your friends contribute to your campaign if you were running, and if so, would you then be responsible for their actions? I know some really shady people. It doesn't make me shady. This Rezco "scandal" is a joke. If you don't like a candidate, come up with some logical arguments rather than a bunch of hearsay and conjecture.

    Posted by Bob Dobbs May 21, 08 02:26 PM
  1. Hey John, I am an old white man from the south and I am voting for Obama. If you want to talk about crooks, talk about those who have been in control of our government for the last two decades.

    Posted by Jim May 21, 08 02:29 PM
  1. Barak was working the system he was in. Insider deals were the way the nation developed. Now its evolving.
    Those donations were pocket change.

    Posted by warrenp May 21, 08 02:29 PM
  1. As I sit here with my faithful dog 'Muffin' I ask her what she thinks about all of this political business, i.e., Obama, Clinton, and Mc (whatever) and she looks at me and says: "Has any of them addressed anthing of significant substance? I could not truly answer her, everyone of them has promised her a big bowl of Benefil, and free doggie chews, but no one has told her about the stem of illegals, the devaluing of the dollar, the rising gas prices and our inability to drill for oil in our own continent. So, rave an candidates, tell me more of that superficial stuff that only influences the every so young and give-it-to-me-for-free crowd...

    Posted by Darrell Carlson May 21, 08 02:54 PM
  1. You people who think the stem cell loving McCain can win the south are wrong. Many whites in the south do not care for McCain. Obama can win the Carolinas and Georgia and Mississippi.

    Posted by Derrick May 21, 08 02:57 PM
  1. OK Hillary or Obama BEAT McCain in the general election......you know why????

    Becuase people dont want a Bush 3rd term!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    one question to the people who wont vote democrat if their chosen candidate is not the winner.....

    let say john edwards was still a part of this race and either clinton or obama were out...... so lets say right now, today, that it was Clinton vs. Edwards....race would not be an issue, if it was Obama vs Edwards, race would then be an issue....

    The reason i use this scenario is for the people who would vote for McCain becuase Hillary did not get the nomination.....it seems to me its a type of racism.....because those people would vote for a male (mccain) if hillary did not win....just not a black man (Obama)......

    Moral is......if you are Democrat, Vote Democrat

    Democrat 08

    Posted by Oregon4Obama May 21, 08 02:58 PM
  1. Tommy...your statement regarding the south being racist would only come out of the mouth of a racist. I am from Louisiana, where Obama won. It's people like you that continue the race issue, not in a positive manner but keep it alive in a negative manner. You didnt mention any of the other states where Obama didnt do well, and many southerners like myself who have posted comments already or just reading take high offense to this. I agree with you that there are race issues in our country and unfortunately its slowly resolving but when people such as yourself continue to comment in negative ways no matter which candidate you support, it should be on the issues. With approximately 80% of the Americans who state in polls that they want a different type of leadership or change, that should tell you something. I am a strong and avid Democrat and supporting Obama, but if in any way he were not to get the nomination I would vote for Hillary, for the party's sake. One more note..I am white, 35yr/old female, registered nurse. I am voting on issues, which the majority of them Obama and I share.

    Posted by Ally May 21, 08 03:03 PM
  1. The same Gallup Poll shows Hillary leading McCain by one more point than Obama's lead. So, who's paying you off to keep the lid on the "whole news"?

    Posted by Mandelay May 21, 08 03:09 PM
  1. "Change we can believe in?" - More like "Change you are hoping for and investing in with little to no indication that it will actually happen." While I admire the leap of faith that the Obama supporters are willing to take, I fear you will be very disappointed. Change would be great if it would actually happen - but what has Obama shown you that leads you to be so confident?

    For those of you who are bitter, I would hope that you wouldn't also be completely unrealistic. Unfortunately, a vote for Obama is exactly that.

    Posted by Carremil May 21, 08 03:21 PM
  1. Darrell,

    It's not the candidates doing that...they all seem to talk about the issues whenvever given the chance. Instead, you could blame, well, us...

    Maybe explain to Muffin that we have a cultural obsession with projecting our own fears and inadequacies onto political candidates, then using talking points and pundits' inane commentaries to back up our own ridiculous reasons for backing him/her.

    By the way, how is Muffin's demographic trending? I haven't heard anything about that on CNN lately, but I wouldn't be surprised if Wolf Blitzer and the universe's best political team breaks that story soon...I'm sure Zogby has the numbers somewhere. My bitter lab is voting Obama...then again, he is a black lab, so that meshes up just fine.

    Posted by nic May 21, 08 03:23 PM
  1. Oh, and Darrell, one more thing...some of us young folk actually work for our keep, pay attention to the issues, and are annoyed with the same cultural crap as you...and that's why we're voting Obama.

    Posted by nic May 21, 08 03:25 PM
  1. Hey Tommy- You're right... many military families will vote for a stong commander in chief... but many of us realize that choice is Obama. Despite popular belief, military officers and their families are looking for a positive change and someone to lead the country in the right direction... just know that not all of us believe McCain is that guy.

    Posted by captainsfiancee May 21, 08 03:30 PM
  1. mandelay, Hillary has already lost, so who cares what the polls say. Its over. Vote Obama

    Posted by Derrick May 21, 08 03:40 PM
  1. CLINTON AND CAPITULATION

    The selection process should be played out. Democracy will not be the worse off for it.

    http://pacificgatepost.blogspot.com/2008/05/clinton-and-capitulation.html

    ... AND the U.S. needs i

    Posted by PacificGatePost May 21, 08 04:02 PM
  1. Trust me McCain will defeat Obama...wake up people

    Posted by soxdiehard May 21, 08 04:14 PM
  1. I wish one of Obama's worshipers can tell me what he stands for!! Please do not say "change". there is no substance behind him. I would love to vote for him if there was.

    Posted by soxdiehard May 21, 08 04:17 PM
  1. John Ryskamp -

    Really? Just read the entire thing. He had a relationship with a scum bag real estate developer. Somebody call the police!!!

    McCain: Keating Five, Lobbyists, Torture, Iraq, Hagee, Taxes, Health Care, Iran, etc etc etc.

    Clinton: No point. She's done.

    Obama: Wright - over, his wife - over, real estate - over.

    You are grasping at straws my friend. Secondly, I love the term "Hood". Way to go after the racially charged vote my friend. Why didn't you just refer to his house as a "crib" while you're at it? Seriously. All you have on him is that he is black and involved in a "shady" (why not?) land deal.

    Does your candidate - whomever that is, really have the ability to take the moral high ground? Me think not.

    Posted by John Smith May 21, 08 04:27 PM
  1. Obama stands for the same issues Hillary does. but she lost. so vote Obama

    Posted by Derrick May 21, 08 04:48 PM
  1. To JR above,

    "Obama--a small time hood." That's pretty funny. You and your kind (Bush, DeLay, Cheney, Falwell and all the other right-wing, religio-fascist fruitcakes who have caused our nation enormous harm) have had your day. Recognize your utter failure, and just disappear, for the good of America.

    Posted by Jesse May 21, 08 04:55 PM
  1. Hillary please stop...move on. You have a terrific career as a senator, which is exactly where we need a savvy and smart woman like you. I am a feminist who believes our best candidate is absolutely OBAMA!!!

    Posted by Ari May 21, 08 06:01 PM
  1. I can't wait to vote against the Republican party and the mess (economically, domestically and foreign policy) they created over the last 7 years! I will be voting for Obama because McCain is no better than Bush and he doesn't have a clue about the direction this country needs to take.
    Oh ya, I live in Florida and Obama has a great change of taking Florida in November. Remember, Gore only lost by 500 votes here in 2000 and once voters realize how pathetic McCain is and how Obama is the real "change" candidate, McCain won't have a chance...even if Charlie Crist is his running mate.

    Posted by Peter May 21, 08 06:05 PM
  1. Blacks for Obama 9 to 1 (= Racism)
    Elitists for Obama 7 to 3 (= Blind).

    Weren't they the so called educated folks (elitists) that created the DotCom disaster and now this mortgage fiasco by duping unsuspecting folks (I call it white collar crime) and selling pipe dreams.

    Wake up and smell the impending disaster.
    Why is the press giving him and his wifee such a free ride.

    Posted by A little pissed .... May 21, 08 08:42 PM
  1. Our babies need someone to change their diapers maybe thats the kind of CHANGE we need from Obama.

    Posted by skmj May 21, 08 11:25 PM
  1. If you don't know what Obama stands for, you have not been listening to him.

    Posted by Eileen May 22, 08 11:29 AM
  1. I pray McBush does not ruin this country for 4 more years.

    Hopefully, Obama will win in november

    Posted by joaquin May 22, 08 05:05 PM
  1. McCain has the two strongest possible allies imaginable: Racism and fear. If he doesn't win with this kind of help, one should ask what is wrong with reality.

    Posted by Domingo Tavella May 22, 08 07:31 PM
  1. "Every problem Obama has had in consolidating his base and reaching to the center"

    There is no more "centrist" candidate than Obama. A careful reading of Obama's and Clinton's proposals show that Clinton is the more progressive candidate. Obama's supporters either prefer to ignore this or are so enamored of him that they don't care about his proposals. Imagine their surprise when they find out about those new nuclear power plants that he intends to subsidize with federal funds and his health care plan that will allow insurance companies to charge twice as much to cover the currently uninsured than Clinton's plan. This "sweetie" will vote third party before casting a vote for "sugar buns".

    Posted by old dem May 26, 08 01:10 PM
  1. If you want to know, that the people of America think about McCain vs Obama, then it is easy to check youtube (www.youtube.com )

    It is called the 'McCain youtube nightmare': There are 200.000 videos mainly positive videos of Obama. There are almost 60.000 videos of McCain, and the most watched 'McCain' videos are very negative.

    Among the young generation, people are ready for change. --And the rest of us, remember the swift-boat.

    This is just a precursor of what is to come, in November Obama is going to win.

    Posted by ion May 27, 08 05:57 PM
  1. If America wants a change...vote for Obama...we'll lose the war in Iraq and all the young soldiers lives will have been in vain! Vote for Mc Cain and raise the dignity of america by establishing a unique and democratic Iraq and Afghanastan! Take it from comeone who has been there...Mc Cain !

    Posted by Pam Galbraith September 5, 08 12:29 AM
  1. Type your comment here...no more white house its house of blacks

    Posted by Emmanuel November 4, 08 12:24 PM
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About political intelligence Field reports from Boston Globe reporters and editors covering the 2008 presidential campaign and the national maneuvering of Bay State politicians.

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