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The finish line in sight?

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor May 27, 2008 09:55 AM

Let the countdown begin.

The math -- along with much of the conventional wisdom -- says that Barack Obama could wrap up the Democratic presidential nomination by next Wednesday. After adding a handful of superdelegates over the long holiday weekend, Obama has 1,977 delegates -- 49 from the 2,026 currently required to clinch and 198 ahead of Hillary Clinton.

That needed number could change after Saturday, when the Democratic National Committee's rules committee could finally decide the fate of the disputed votes and delegates from the Florida and Michigan primaries. But there are only 86 pledged delegates left up for grabs -- 55 in Puerto Rico on Sunday, and 31 combined in Montana and South Dakota a week from today in the final primaries.

With the proportional allocation of delegates, Obama is likely to win enough to reach 2,026. And Obama's campaign and supporters expect that even if the threshold changes after Saturday, soon after the last primaries, enough superdelegates will declare for him to put him over the top.

Clinton, however, shows no signs of giving up. She is campaigning in Montana today and in South Dakota on Wednesday, as husband Bill and daughter Chelsea stump in Puerto Rico.

She offered a lengthy defense of why she's staying in the race despite the daunting odds in an opinion piece published in New York's Daily News on Sunday. Besides giving her stock arguments about being a stronger nominee in swing states, she also wrote about history.

"I am running for all those women in their 90s who've told me they were born before women could vote, and they want to live to see a woman in the White House. For all the women who are energized for the first time, and voting for the first time. For the little girls -- and little boys -- whose parents lift them onto their shoulders at our rallies, and whisper in their ears, 'See, you can be anything you want to be.' As the first female candidate in this position, I believe I have a responsibility to finish this race."

16 comments so far...
  1. HRC is so out of touch with reality that she cannot comprehend how much of a fool she is making of herself. The only way she can win is to have the nomination stolen. She would even shamelessly accept the nomination if it were stolen and truly believe it was deserved.

    Months ago I was a Clinton supporter but she has insulted my intelligence to many times for me to continue to overlook her true character she has shown in this campaign.

    She is now crying about Obama "exploiting" her tasteless comments about RFK in 1968. Did she forget about how she milked Obama's comments about "guns and religion" calling him and exlitist and trying desperately to make it stick. Once again she contridicts herself with her "double standards" of life.... "Clinton's Way and the Wrong Way".

    What she will eventually realize is that she is the victim of being caught in her own web of lies, exagerations, and wisted interpretations of events all the while thinking that American's were laughing at her but are now piting her as she continues to embarrass herself.

    Her latest claim is that she is running for all the women who are still alive when women couldn't even vote. How about the African American's being considered property????? Obama has an equal or even stronger reason to run for the presidency.

    Step aside Hillary or you will get run over by the herd of Superdelegates that are about to steamroll you... Will you get it then or define a new metric?

    Posted by Paul May 27, 08 10:40 AM
  1. Hillary Clinton is repeating the job done by Hubert Humphrey in 1972: to spoil the chances of the Democratic antiwar candidate.

    Run him ragged. Use up his funds, while McCain is getting cashed up. Create a tension and tribalism in the Democratic voters that would make even a small percentage vote Republican or independent just to spite the other side.

    Hillary is a pro war neocon. That is why she is trying to destroy Obama's chances. Once she realized she could not win, she determined to wreck Obama's chances. Nothing else makes sense as she has no chance of winning, and no point to make, or leverage to gain, by continuing.

    Posted by Jim May 27, 08 10:43 AM
  1. The Democratic presidential nomination process is still in progress. Obama cannot acquire the requisite number of pledged delegates to get the presidential nomination; he has no presumptive lock on the nomination. FL and MI must be resolved and the votes counted. The superdelegates must then select the best qualified and strongest presidential candidate to win the general election using their independent judgment without regard to any "delegate math." This decision calls for the superdelegates to show wisdom, integrity, and courage in honoring their true function. In this regard, they have only one choice for the Democratic presidential nominee: Sen. Clinton.

    Obama's recent superdelegate endorsements, announced daily with fabricated fluff, have clearly repudiated their true role as superdelegates. Disregarding the democratic core value to count every vote, these Obama superdelegates have engaged in a conspiracy with Obama to make a ruthless end run around the nomination process to swipe the nomination from Sen. Clinton. This conduct is putting a united Democratic Party beyond the realm of possibility and taking the Democratic Party down the path to a train wreck in November.

    Sen. Clinton must continue her fight for the future of the Democratic Party and America. All rational Democrats need to support her campaign by making frequent contributions at HillaryClinton.com.

    Posted by crat3 May 27, 08 10:45 AM
  1. Dear Fellow Americans,

    Our Greatgrand Nation, the United States of America,
    is facing and will face very critical, substantial
    "Challenges" in the coming months, years, and decades.

    It is imperative that we the people of the America
    become interested, involved, and engaged in choosing
    and voting for our next President.

    The following criteria will guide and help us to a
    right candidate. The candidate we choose must have
    following characteristics:


    1. A clear, candid " Vision and Mission" for our
    Nations present and future.

    2. A " Strong Character and significant
    Integrity".

    3. A sound and sustained "Presidential Temperament"
    and " Judgment".

    4. Less "Washington exposure" and "real
    connectivity with the people and future
    generation".

    5. One who "Inspires us up" rather than
    "Tears us Down or divides us".

    6. One who is not based on sexism,
    racism,regionalism,ageism, or any other ism and as
    well as one who attempts to " bring us together ".

    7. A foreign policy of mainly "USA Centric".

    In my professional, political and personal opinion,
    the only candidate that meets all the above
    characteristics and has shown consistent
    coolness, calmness, and connectedness { PRESIDENTIAL
    TEMPERAMENT } is Senator Barack Obama.

    As an independent registered voter since 1980, I voted
    for Carter, voted for Reagan, voted for First Bush,
    and second Bush in 2000 and in the process lost
    interest in Washington politics to the point where i
    stopped voting. Getting disinterested and disgusted in
    our political process and stopping voting was a very
    very bad decision in any circumstance, particularly
    under present circumstances.

    This time we can not afford to stay on the sidelines
    and let "Washington" stay the same. We can not afford
    to allow our Greatgrand Nation to become less than
    what we are, what we were and what we can be.

    We need to send a clear, careful and candid message to
    the world and sometimes 24-hour partisan divisive
    media, that We the American people will set the agenda
    for our future. America and Americans will be back.

    These partisan media outlets are trying and will try
    their best to deprive, decieve,dupe, and derail us.
    Let us stay involved, engaged, and express our opinion
    freely and vote. Our Nation will get it right this
    time
    to protect, preserve, and promote our future.

    Some of these partisan media and pundits are trying
    their best to deny us a better future and continue
    focusing on our weaknesses to generate a bitter future
    for us and our Greatgrand Nation. Our nation's people
    will see thru. Unfortunately our Greatgrand Nation's
    people are persistently and constantly subjected to
    this "Psychological Terrorism" without common people’s
    knowledge.

    The common and regular people do not have time to see
    thru and sort thru this psychological terrorism
    perpetuated by some of these partisan media outlets.

    I find it tragic, unfortunate, and sad [ They probably
    do not care about our Greatgrand Nation ]as they claim
    that they do it in the interest OF our Greatgrand
    Nation.

    We the Americans should not and will not to allow
    some of these partisan media outlets to
    psychologically
    terrorize, traumatize and silence us this time nor
    any other time in future.

    I am sure that we will get it right this
    time and elect Senator Obama as our next President.

    Let us remember that our Greatgrand nation consists of
    family, friends,fellowships, faith, funds,foundation,
    fun, and future with fairness and freedom and without
    fear, favor, or failure .

    We can not afford to lose any of the above. Let us
    stand up, be counted, save and rebuild our Greatgrand
    Nation for centuries to come. I am sure our Greatgrand
    nation andits diverse people. will reclaim, regain and
    restore the global economic, social, moral, and power
    status of USA.

    God Bless our Great grand Nation and its diverse
    people.

    Our Greatgrand nation needs present and future
    stability, security, safety,sustained progress and
    restoration of our due status in this perilous Global
    World at all levels.

    Yours sincerely,

    COL.[retd] A.M.Khajawall M.D.
    Forensic Psychiatrist.
    Disabled American Veteran.
    Las Vegas Nevada

    Posted by COL. [retd] A.M.Khajawall MD May 27, 08 10:55 AM
  1. The Rules and Bylaws Committee will meet on May 31 to consider Florida and Michigan. The delegate math is looking very good for Obama and he can afford to be magnanimous --- what if he simply proposes that the FL and MI be seated as elected? Clinton gains some delegates, but Obama gains some too --- maybe enough, coupled with the superdelegates he has in his back pocket, to clinch the nomination with FL and MI. Wouldn't that be the best way to settle this? Give Clinton a win on FL and MI and the Obama delegates in those two states put him over the top.

    Posted by paul May 27, 08 11:07 AM
  1. "Hillary Clinton will stop spending money America doesn't have," the announcer adds. "She'll end fifty five billion dollars in giveaways to corporate special interests, reduce the deficit and protect Social Security."

    Clinton concludes: "I will get us back to fiscal responsibility."

    these quotes are pretty absurd, considering her losing campaign is in debt and she continues to sink money into it. she needs to get familiar with a simple economic concept called 'sunk cost.' the money you already invested into your campaign is a 'sunk cost' and it cannot be recovered. she should stop making decisions based on money that can not and will not be recovered.

    Posted by honey May 27, 08 11:12 AM
  1. Her still running just smacks of a craven, pandering poitician who puts their own self-interest ahead of the greater party. You can just see the standards rushing out the door-- from doing shots in PA and speaking of her love of rifles, to swilling a Presidente beer in PR, to arguably her most disgusting utterance about RFK being shot in the month of June. (and what if some crackpot really does take a shot at her opponent.... what then? Will she tell us, "See how prescient I am?" )

    And I wonder, just how many women in their 90's have been to these Clinton events and have spoken of their pain about not being able to vote. My guess is that there have been far more African Americans at Obama events talking about their much more recent, and much more tangible pain at all levels.

    Posted by Tim May 27, 08 02:33 PM
  1. Q: What's the difference between Hillary Clinton and Ralph Nader?

    A: Eight years

    Posted by David May 27, 08 02:43 PM
  1. To suggest she is staying in the race in case Obama is assassinated is almost criminal on her part. Now what if someone does kill him to help her get nominated... she going to accept her responsibility for his death or will she humbly accept the nomination in his memory? Now she is the savior of all women? The only thing that Hillary Clinton is proving by staying in this race is that women politicians can be just as big scumbags as male politicians. She should be in jail, not the Whitehouse.

    Posted by Pat May 27, 08 03:00 PM
  1. If the Democratic Primaries were like the Republican's WINNER TAKES ALL and the ELECTORAL COLLEGE, Hillary would have won long ago. As of today, Hillary would have 1,714 (54%) delegates and Obama would have only 1,453 (46%). This doesn't even include Florida and Michigan which would make Hillary's WINNER TAKE ALL votes a LANDSLIDE! But the Democrats have to make sure the Olde Boys do the real choosing of their candidate and not the voters.

    Posted by John from Boston May 27, 08 03:10 PM
  1. When in the history of American Primaries has a candidate with as many delegates as Hillary just quit? Never. The rabid Hillary hatred is making voters like me very cool to Obama, who praised Reagan and put the Clinton administration with that of Nixon. As Krugman in the NYT said on 5/26, her mention of RFK regarding timeline is another phoney "scandal," whipped up by FOX TV and Obama's press people. She won the big open primary states and got almost nothing for it, while he got lopsided delegates from closed door caucuses of Starbucks Democrats. Obama's hot air will not pass healthcare. And don't use the Supreme Court argument because Bush has poisoned the Court for decades to come.

    Posted by JerryR May 27, 08 03:10 PM
  1. Crat3: "Obama's recent superdelegate endorsements, announced daily with fabricated fluff, have clearly repudiated their true role as superdelegates. Disregarding the democratic core value to count every vote, these Obama superdelegates have engaged in a conspiracy with Obama to make a ruthless end run around the nomination process to swipe the nomination from Sen. Clinton."

    What about the 240+ superdelegates that endorsed Clinton prior to March of this year?

    Crat3: "This decision calls for the superdelegates to show wisdom, integrity, and courage in honoring their true function."

    Oh, so when Barack has more PLEDGED delegates than Hillary after every state has voted, you expect them to stand behind HILLARY? oh yes, that shows lots of integrity.

    Posted by Lucas May 27, 08 03:19 PM
  1. Hey crat3... The only one who's stolen the nomination from Hillary is Hillary. She was handed the nomination on a silver platter and screwed it up. That's real solid management for ya! If that's what experience gets us in a president the less we have of it the better.

    Your claim about electability is yet another delusion you've been fed. Who do you think those "working class whites" are? Rebublicans voting for Hill to mess up Obama.

    JerryR: It's the Clintonian delusionalness and double standards that have poisoned the atmosphere.

    And John... You must be a real math wiz! If the Democratic contests were WINNER TAKE ALL, Hillary would have lost in February!

    Posted by cuzinjo May 27, 08 03:44 PM
  1. The Party leaders need to show some courage before the Clintons incite even more hate and rage. Bill and Hill are openly revolting against the DNC rules and the delegates by insisting that Hillary was mistreated, etc. They are no longer simply moving the goalposts, which have long disappeared in their game. They are now running for 2012, and will do anything to destroy Obama's 2008 campaign. Including what Hillary spoke of, the real nuclear option, which will clear her path to the White House once and for all. Watch our beloved nation go up in flames should Hillary's expressed wish come true. The Clintons care only for themselves. They are shameless.

    Posted by lyn May 27, 08 05:44 PM
  1. There's really nothing left to be said. By the time all of you Dems get done killing each other over who should have the nomination there will be no one left except McCain.

    Posted by bosfoss May 28, 08 08:50 AM
  1. If Obama does not win it on pledged delegates alone, he doesn't deserve the nomination. That does not mean I think Clinton is the logical choice either. She has not faired much better in this election. Clearly, the Democratic voters are telling these two candidates and the party elders (including those superdelegates) that neither candidate has the wisdom or experience to represent their party in the upcoming election. The party leaders are just to foolish to see what is happening or to listen to the constituents. My message to them would be simple, "Wake up people!"

    If we are honest with ourselves and the numbers, Obama cannot win in November. I know he thinks he can turn red states blue, but get real. Democrats have said this time after time and not many have succeeded. (Not Carter, Mondale, Dukakis, Gore or Kerry - only President Clinton has done so in recent history!) Additionally, Obama's ability to win key states, such as New York, Penn, Ohio, Florida, and Texas, is suspect and should cause those in the Democratic Party to look more closely at this election. Without these states, the Democratic candidate does not have a chance. I think with Obama even Massachusetts is at risk to turn “red” this election as it has in past elections when the Democratic Party could not field a viable candidate.

    Clinton has her weaknesses too. She has not connected with the young Democrat. This will hurt her and the party in the long run. Even though she has a proved record of wins in traditional blue states, I am not sure she could win Ohio, Texas or Florida in the general election. So, we would have 2004 all over again.

    If the Democratic leaders were smart (I am not sure they are) they would look to a third candidate who already has the trust of the people and the wisdom and experience to run a hard fought campaign. (No, I do not think this would be Kerry!). But, what about Al Gore with Obama or Clinton as a running mate! Not a bad ticket. I am sure we could put other Democrats on this short list which could be discussed at the convention.

    Either way, the lesson to the leaders of the Democratic Party is to change the process in which you pick your candidates. I cannot believe that party leaders made a decision to forgo delegates from two key states – Michigan and Florida. Nor can I believe that the leaders of the party would not support more viable candidates. Instead, Democrats are left with two candidates who knowingly and intentionally have polarized the party members in the hope of winning their nomination. I guess they have forgotten what they are fighting for - the trust of the American people. If the leaders of the party do not do the right thing, the party will most likely splinter or become ineffective.

    Posted by shogan May 28, 08 11:32 AM
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About political intelligence Field reports from Boston Globe reporters and editors covering the 2008 presidential campaign and the national maneuvering of Bay State politicians.

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