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McCain's pollsters doubt poll

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor June 25, 2008 12:44 PM

John McCain is embracing his underdog status in the presidential race.

But that isn't stopping his campaign from questioning the latest poll to say he trails Democrat Barack Obama by double digits.

The Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg survey out on Tuesday gave Obama a 49 percent to 37 percent lead.

McCain's pollsters, however, question the findings. In a memo, they note that 39 percent of respondents in the poll identified themselves as Democrats, 27 percent as independents, and 22 percent as Republicans, leaving 12 percent unaccounted.

The party identification gap is wider than in most polls and bigger than in recent history, and the number either not knowing or refusing to declare their party allegiance is also high, the pollsters say. If those numbers were more in line, they say, McCain would trail by single digits.

"McCain’s double digit deficit is not a reflection of reality, simply a result of an unusual party identification result in this survey," they write.

"Furthermore, since the LA Times does not release other demographics like age and ethnicity, it becomes very difficult for an independent observer to verify whether a survey is methodologically flawed or simply an outlier in public opinion trends."

A Newsweek poll released last week that gave Obama a 15-percentage-point lead also had a skewed sample, the pollsters say.

McCain's campaign also points out that the daily Gallup tracking poll has the candidates tied at 45 percent.

2 comments so far...

  1. well.. Id love to believe the POLL myself.. the LAST thing we need is McCain... (well.. ok.. maybe the last is another 4 years of Bush!... but whats the dif?)....

    still.. poll smoll.... what does it matter who leads now? I care about who wins the election... and I hope and pray it isnt the GOP.... we DONT need 4 more years of the 8 years we already have booked...

    Posted by Levi Cro June 25, 08 05:10 PM
  1. If McCain loves our Country as much as he says he does, he will ask his
    Republican supporters to get it right this time and vote Democratic on
    Election Day in November.

    Posted by Harry Meiklejohn June 26, 08 10:11 AM
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About political intelligence Field reports from Boston Globe reporters and editors covering the 2008 presidential campaign and the national maneuvering of Bay State politicians.

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