Obama widens national lead in poll

Tracking poll, schmacking poll.

One great thing about Obama finally being "the nominee" is that he's quit tippee toeing around and started to show his real strengths as an executive. Interestingly, he's just as inclusive and friendly and natural. What Jim Webb called his composure. No kidding, he's been running this gauntlet for many months now. And composure that appears effortless is genius. Is a gift and a gift to us if we can see.

what's the margin of error?

Obama is in trouble if he does not open a 20-point lead over McCain by this weekend. If polls by the end of the week are not showing a significant bump after Hillary conceded, Obama has to be concerned that her supporters are not going to be easy for him to get. If his lead stays in single digits through the next week or two, you are going to see a lot of pressure in him to select Hillary as his vice president.

Who cares

Obama, McCain does it matter? Voting for demopublican or republicrat is a vote for the establishment. Vote Green, Vote Liberal, Vote Independent Party vote communism, because it is better than the same puppets running our country. If we want real change, vote real change. Vote this year because it is the best time for it to happen.

All this talk of a 'dream ticket' with Obama and Clinton as being what the Dem Party wants and how it is such a winner should be balanced with one tid bit of a different view. Who is to say that Obama could not win an even larger margin with someone else as his running mate? It is possible, isn't it?

He is NOT going to pick Hillary, so just forget about it...geez!

Obama/Powell '08

The margin of error is probably 6%, and the population polled totally biased, making this a science fiction article (the journalist could probably invent his own numbers and be just as wrong)

Notice that oftentimes the candidates are in a "DEAD HEAT" and are within 5 or so percentage points of one another. I believe that the press sponsors these polls to get the candidates to spend their huge resources on advertising to win an "edge" in the polls over an opponent. Just think about it. Go back and look at the times when the candidates were in a "dead heat and tied" in the polls. It just seems statistically impossible for nearly every poll to be about 50-50 or 42%-44% or something really close like that.

Anyone but Clinton, please! I'm eager to see a woman as President or VP. Just not that woman!

I like how the detractor said he needs to open a 20% lead. Really? Does he now.

He's ahead in the polls and once that 3% more come around when he picks a VP who's not so scary to people, his lead will only grow.

People will begin to realize that McCain is a sellout to the Republican party and has been since Rove put him in his place in 2000. They'll get over the whole Clinton/Black/Muslim/Liberal attack stuff and realize what an amazing man he is. And for those who don't? That's your problem. I hope McCain sends your children to die in Iran.

Y

Barack Hussien Obama is a racist

Don't forget the old saying, "figures don't lie, but liars figure." Polls are run in such a way that the pollsters get the answer they're looking for. I can guarantee you that somewhere there is a poll that says McCain is in the lead by 4 percentage points, give or take 5.

Obama is the furthest thing from a racist I have seen in my entire life.

"Barack Hussien Obama is a racist"

Oh dear God what will become of our country if we let a racist man into the White House? Ha! Give me a break - everyone is a racist to some extent.

Have a little backbone, John, and don't allow yourself to be so easily scared...

Barack Hussien Obama is your next president. :)

Who cares about the polls at this point. I care about the issues and am looking foward to some intelligent discussion between the candidates in the months to come. I too am very interested in the VP choices for both.......But as a supporter of Senator Obama, it is my sincere belief that he not be pressured......his choice and his choice only on this important decision. Janice from Maryland

OBAMA IS ARROGANT AND A PHONY, HE IS A LIAR, A PRETENDER, AND A TALKER: BLAH, BLAH, BLAH, "CHANGE", BLAH,BLAH, "CHANGE", BLAH BLAH BLAH…. WE ARE SICK AND TIRED OF THE WORD "CHANGE" COMING FROM HIM. CHANGE TO WHAT, OBAMA? OH, YEAH, CHANGE FROM BAD TO WORSE. WHAT A HUGE MISTAKE IT HAS BEEN TO NOMINATE THIS GUY!

MILLIONS AND MILLIONS WILL VOTE FOR MCCAIN AND HE WILL WIN, BECAUSE NOBODY LIKES OR TRUSTS PHONIES LIKE OBAMA.

margin of error is at most 2% - means this is VALID

The more people get to know and hear Obama the more they like him.
That's how it was in the primaries and that's how it will be in the election.
He is a one-in-a- life-time man.

Why, because his name isn't John?

I believe the margin of error is 3% in the tracking poll.

Hillary should not be the VP. No way to control Bill as was proven in the primary. Gov. Kaine, Sen. Webb, Gen. Clark, Gen. Zinni, lots of much better choices than Billary. Time to move on folks.

Putting Clinton on the ticket might unit the Democratic party but it would send the independents flying. Is our goal to "unit the party" or "win" the election. If we want to win the election then we can't put Clinton on the ticket. She is such a polarizing figure. Look at the conversations we are still having and she is gone! Not to mention who would want to have a VP who wants to be President and and ex-President all in the same White House. That's nonsense. The Clintons have to learn that they pose a problem because of their blind ambition. Usually husband and wife don't compete for the same job - it's a bit obnoxious on their part. Clinton isn't the only person who can appeal to those white working class voters. We are loaded with White people in this country who could fit the bill - no shortage.

John:
President Obama is not a racist because he would have to hate himself. Has he done ANYTHING to indicate this. He and his wife love this country and are willing to risk their lives to lead it. He could make a lot of money as a brilliant lawyer yet he wants to serve people. He is a great patriot.

Regarding the "mandatory" 20 point lead...every losing candidate (both sides) had leads of 15 to 25 points three months before the general election. That's why candidates use more focused pinpoint polling services, because all these gallup and other national polls of small samples (anywhere from 500 to 5000 people) do is give a quick snapshot. Nothing about either candidate is going to fit the traditional models, so any of those old "rules" are likely to be of limited value this time around. If you want to know what Obama or McCains internal polling operations are showing, just pay attention to where they go, who they speak to and what they say...

Obama pick Hillary, are you nuts? we can NOT afford to risk this election. Hillary is a sure bet when we seriously need one and it will unite the party. Show some back bone, stand for what is right and UNITE THIS PARTY against the Republicans. I think it is a JOKE Obama has a committee looking for some no name, no where loser for his running mate who will end up being dirty and corrupt when they dig the dirt on him or her. Hillary has been vetted! it matters. Hillary has paid her dues and is a Clinton, we can not lose with her on the ticket.

To the simple-mind, "No Bump Yet", you're trying to console yourself, aren't you?

Your expectation of a 20 point bump is disengenuous and is intended to undermine Obama's recent rise in the polls. Do your math. Clinton won nearly half of the Democratic voters this primary and about 70% of her national supporters have ALWAYS been polling to prefer Obama over McCain. So that means Obama had been tying at 46% WITHOUT a 30% remainder section of Clintonites. Now that Clinton's endorsed him, he's leapt up by 7 national points according to today's Gallup polls.

If 85% democrats gave him a 46% tie with McCain (whilst Hillary was still in it), then at most, a 100% of dems can only give him an 8 percent boost at the polls.
That means, at a 7 percent boost, Barack has almost entirely united the
Democratic base.

Barrack Obama will help unite Americans.